The BC Lions are riding a wave of momentum as they head into Week 6 of the CFL season against the Edmonton Elks at Commonwealth Stadium. The Lions got a dramatic win last week and will look to build on it here. The Elks also got a win in Week 5 and will look for another in this game. Let’s dig into the angles that matter as we make our BC Lions vs Edmonton Elks prediction for Week 6.
Our BC Lions vs Edmonton Elks Pick
- Pick: Over 51
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: BC Lions vs Edmonton Elks
- Date & Time: Sunday, July 13, 2025, 7 PM EDT
- Venue: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton
- Broadcast: TSN
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| BC –3 | BC –160 / EDM +135 | 51 |
Key Storylines
Recent form
- BC is coming off a gritty 21‑20 road win over Montreal. They drove down the field to get a game-winning field goal as time expired. Now the question is whether or not they can build on that.
- Edmonton sits at 1‑3 after earning their first victory over Ottawa. They lost their first three games by double-digits but showed a ton of heart to get into the win column.
Quarterback play
- Nathan Rourke is fifth in the league in passing yards. He has five touchdown passes and two interceptions.
- Tre Ford is fourth in the CFL in passing yardage. He has the same number of touchdowns and interceptions as Rourke. This is an evenly-matched game from a quarterbacking standpoint.
Anticipated matchup advantages
- BC’s passing attack could have a big game against a porous pass defense for the Elks.
- Edmonton’s rushing attack should be able to keep things moving against the BC run D.
- BC kicker Sean Whyte remains red-hot. He is a key asset if this one is tight late.
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Lions are 2-3 straight up and against the spread this season.
- The Elks are 1-3 straight up and against the spread in 2025.
- BC has stayed under the total in 3 of their 5 games.
- Edmonton is 3-1 to the over in their four games.
- The Elks are 1-1 at home this year. BC is 1-2 on the road.
BC Lions vs Edmonton Elks Model Projection
- Score Projection: BC Lions 30 – Edmonton Elks 28
- Win Probability: BC 65%, Edmonton 35%
Final Thoughts
I’m not sure I believe in either of these teams to cover the spread with the way they’re playing this year. Instead I think that the over is the best bet for this contest in the CFL. Both of these teams can move the ball effectively but are struggling on defense. I expect that trend to continue for both sides. This should be a high-scoring game that goes down to the wire. If I had to pick a side to win, it would be BC in a tight game. But I’d much rather have an over ticket here.
