Jake Paul returns to the ring on Saturday, June 28, 2025, at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California, to face former WBC middleweight champion Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. in a cruiserweight bout scheduled for 12 rounds. This matchup presents a significant test for Paul as he continues his pursuit of legitimacy in professional boxing. Chavez Jr., once a titleholder, seeks to reestablish himself against the younger, ambitious Paul. Here, we break down Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. and make our prediction for the fight.
Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Preview
Jake Paul enters this fight with a professional record of 11 wins and 1 loss, including 7 victories by knockout. His most recent bout was a unanimous decision win over Mike Tyson in November 2024. Prior to that, Paul secured stoppage victories against Mike Perry, Ryan Bourland, and Andre August, demonstrating his power and improving skill set.
Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. boasts a record of 54 wins, 6 losses, and 1 draw, with 34 knockouts. However, his recent activity has been limited, with only one fight since 2021—a unanimous decision win over Uriah Hall in July 2024. Chavez Jr.’s career has seen ups and downs, including a notable loss to Anderson Silva in 2021 and challenges outside the ring. But it’s clear that this is more about the payday for Chavez than the boxing, given how little boxing he’s been doing prior to this bout.
Physically, both fighters stand at 6’1″, but Paul holds a reach advantage of 76 inches compared to Chavez Jr.’s 72.8 inches. At 27 years old, Paul is about 12 years younger than the 39-year-old Chavez Jr., potentially giving him an edge in speed and endurance.
Betting Insights
Current betting odds favor Jake Paul significantly. According to DraftKings Sportsbook:
- Jake Paul: -750
- Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.: +475
These odds suggest that Paul is the clear favorite, with bookmakers assigning him a high probability of victory. Chavez Jr.’s underdog status reflects concerns about his recent inactivity and past performances. Of course, Paul to win by knockout will be a popular bet here, given his history of knocking out other fighters whose name recognition exceeds their current abilities.
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Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Prediction
Analyzing this fight from all angles, Jake Paul appears to have several advantages heading into this bout. His youth, reach, and recent activity suggest he is well-prepared physically and mentally. Paul’s commitment to training and his progression in the sport have been evident in his recent victories.
Chavez Jr., while experienced, has faced challenges both in and out of the ring. His limited activity over the past few years and past losses raise questions about his current form and motivation. Although he has expressed confidence and a willingness to retire if defeated, these statements may add pressure rather than serve as motivation.
Considering these factors, my prediction leans toward Jake Paul securing a victory, potentially by decision or late stoppage. Bettors may find value in wagering on Paul to win by knockout, as there is little value in betting him on the moneyline given the steep price.
