The boxing calendar for 2025 is set to feature a monumental clash as Saul “Canelo” Alvarez defends his undisputed super middleweight titles against the undefeated Terence “Bud” Crawford on Saturday, September 13. This bout not only pits two of the sport’s most accomplished fighters against each other but also carries significant implications for their legacies and the boxing landscape. Here, we break down Canelo Alvarez vs Terence Crawford and make our prediction for this massive matchup.
Canelo Alvarez vs Terence Crawford Preview
Canelo Alvarez, 34, enters the ring with an impressive record of 63 wins, 2 losses, and 2 draws, including 39 knockouts. Standing at 5’7½” with a reach of 70½ inches, the Mexican powerhouse has dominated the super middleweight division, becoming a two-time undisputed champion in May 2025 after defeating William Scull by unanimous decision. Despite criticism over the lackluster nature of that fight, Alvarez’s body shots and ring control reaffirmed his status at the top of the division.
Terence Crawford, 37, boasts an unblemished record of 41 wins and no losses, with 31 of his wins coming by knockout. At 5’8″ with a 74-inch reach, the American southpaw is known for his speed and technical skills. Having conquered the lightweight, light welterweight, and welterweight divisions, Crawford now aims to make history by becoming the first male boxer to achieve undisputed status in three weight classes. However, this fight marks his debut at super middleweight, a significant leap from his previous bouts at 154 pounds.
Both fighters are renowned for their counter-punching abilities and ring intelligence. Alvarez’s experience at higher weight classes and his ability to cut off the ring effectively will be tested against Crawford’s superior reach, footwork, and switch-hitting capabilities. The absence of a rehydration clause means both fighters will have the freedom to recover post-weigh-in, potentially benefiting the naturally larger Alvarez.
Betting Insights
Current betting odds favor Canelo Alvarez, with bet365 listing him at -180. Terence Crawford is the underdog at +145. These odds reflect the consensus that Alvarez’s experience and power at super middleweight give him a tangible advantage.
Key statistics to consider:
- Alvarez: 63 wins (39 KOs), 2 losses, 2 draws; 5’7½” height; 70½” reach; Orthodox stance.
- Crawford: 41 wins (31 KOs), 0 losses; 5’8″ height; 74″ reach; Southpaw stance.
While Crawford has a higher knockout percentage (76% vs. Alvarez’s 63%) and a reach advantage, the jump in weight class and potential size disparity are significant factors influencing the betting lines.
Whether you are backing Canelo or Crawford to win this huge title fight, you will want to utilize the bet365 new player bonus to bet this bout. There, you can get up to 30x their initial wager in bonus bets, even if your first bet doesn’t win! Just click the Claim Offer button on this page to get started.
Canelo Alvarez vs Terence Crawford Prediction
Alvarez’s track record at super middleweight, combined with his power and ring savvy, positions him as a deserved favorite. His ability to deliver punishing body shots could wear down Crawford over the course of the fight.
Crawford’s path to victory lies in his speed, movement, and tactical acumen. If he can utilize his reach advantage, maintain distance, and avoid prolonged exchanges, he could outpoint Alvarez. However, the challenge of adapting to a new weight class against a seasoned champion cannot be understated.
Considering the factors at play, my prediction leans towards Canelo Alvarez securing a win, potentially by late-round stoppage or a unanimous decision. Bettors might find value in wagering on Alvarez to win by decision at +130, given Crawford’s untested chin at this weight and Alvarez’s proven power.
