The Washington Mystics will face the New York Liberty at Barclays Center in Brooklyn on Thursday night. There are huge playoff implications in this game for both team as the Liberty look to improve their seeding and the Mystics try to climb into a playoff spot. Before tip-off from Brooklyn, continue reading to get my Mystics vs Liberty prediction for tonight’s game.
Our Mystics vs Liberty Pick
- Pick: Washington Mystics +13
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Mystics @ New York Liberty
- Date & Time: Thursday, August 28, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
- Broadcast: Prime Video
Mystics vs Liberty Odds
| Market | Washington Mystics | New York Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +13 | -13 |
| Moneyline | +550 | -900 |
| Total | 163.5 | |
Key Storylines
- Washington Mystics: The Mystics are coming off an 84–82 loss to the Seattle Storm despite Shakira Austin’s impressive 30-point performance. The Mystics have lost four games in a row and they are desperate for a win here as they enter this contest 3.5 games out of the final playoff spot in the WNBA.
- New York Liberty: The Liberty have been dominant at home with a 15–5 record. But they have dropped to fifth in the WNBA standings by going 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Liberty are in need of wins in a hurry if they want to move back up into the top four to have home-court advantage in the first round of the WNBA playoffs.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Past Meetings: The Liberty have won the first two games they have played against the Mystics this year. Those games were both in Washington and this will be their first meeting of the season in Brooklyn. New York has averaged 85.5 points per game in their two wins over Washington this year.
- ATS Records: The Liberty are 1–4 against the spread in their last 5 games. They are 13-23-2 against the spread for the season. Washington is 18-20 against the spread during the 2025 season.
- O/U Trends: New York is 17-20-1 on the over/under market for the season. The Mystics have gone 18-19-1 on totals in the 2025 season.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offensive/Defensive Metrics: The Liberty are fourth in the WNBA in offensive rating and fifth in defensive rating. Washington is 11th in the W in offensive rating and seventh in defensive rating.
- Pace of Play: The Liberty play at the fastest pace in the WNBA and Washington ranks seventh in that category.
Mystics vs Liberty Model Projection
- Score Projection: Washington Mystics 77 – New York Liberty 86
- Win Probability: Washington Mystics 15.2%, New York Liberty 84.8%
Final Thoughts
The New York Liberty should get a win at home tonight with Breanna Stewart back on the floor for them for the playoff push. But I’m not sure that New York is going to win this game by a big enough margin to cover the spread. I’ll take the points with Washington here as New York continues to adjust to getting its star players on the floor together for the first time in a long time.
