The Minnesota Lynx will host the Washington Mystics at Target Center on Friday night. The Lynx have the best record in the WNBA and will look to continue their winning ways against a Mystics team undergoing some changes at the trade deadline. Before this inter-conference matchup in the WNBA, continue reading to get my Mystics vs Lynx prediction.
Our Lynx vs Mystics Pick
- Pick: Minnesota Lynx -9.5
- Confidence: 4 stars
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Mystics @ Minnesota Lynx
- Date & Time: August 8, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
- Broadcast: ION
Mystics vs Lynx Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| MIN –9.5 | MIN –535 | WSH +400 | 157 |
Key Storylines
- The big story coming into this game is the absence of Napheesa Collier for the Lynx. The MVP favorite is out with a sprained ankle. Minnesota managed to win their first game without her over the Seattle Storm on Tuesday.
- Also noteworthy is the fact that the Mystics traded their leading scorer away before the trade deadline. Brittney Sykes was arguably the best player on the Mystics, but has been traded to the Seattle Storm for Alysha Clark. That will put a ton of pressure on rookie Sonia Citron to deliver as the team’s best scoring guard.
- Minnesota is 5.5 games ahead of the rest of the league in the standings and is closing in on clinching the top seed going into the playoffs.
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- These teams are 1-1 against each other so far this season. The home team is 2-0 in the season series so far.
- Minnesota’s loss to Washington earlier in the season came with Collier out of action.
- Washington is 4-10 on the road this season. Minnesota is 15-1 at home.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Minnesota is number one in the WNBA in offensive rating, defensive rating, and net rating this year.
- Washington ranks 11th in offensive rating, 7th in defensive rating, and 10th in net rating.
- The Lynx rank 11th in pace and the Mystics are 7th in that category.
- The key matchup in this game will be Kiki Iriafen and Shakira Austin against a Minnesota frontcourt that is missing its best player in Collier.
Lynx vs Mystics Model Projection
Score Projection: Minnesota Lynx 88 – Washington Mystics 73
Win Probability: Minnesota Lynx 85 %, Washington Mystics 15 %
Final Thoughts
The Mystics could make some noise in this game if they can get the ball into the paint and dominate the offensive glass without Collier available for the Lynx. But the guard play in this game is a complete mismatch in favor of the Lynx. Without Sykes to carry the scoring load on the perimeter for Washington, I think the Mystics will struggle to keep up with Courtney Williams and company for Minnesota. I will lay the points with the Lynx as they should move closer to locking up the WNBA’s top seed.
