The Washington Mystics and Indiana Fever will meet on Friday night in a huge game in the WNBA playoff race. Washington is just outside of the top eight in the standings and desperate to make up ground. Indiana is looking to improve its seeding in the final stretch of the regular season. Before the action begins in Indianapolis, continue reading to get my Mystics vs Fever prediction in the WNBA.
Our Mystics vs Fever Pick
- Pick: Indiana Fever -8.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Mystics @ Indiana Fever
- Date & Time: Friday, August 15, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
- Broadcast: ION
Mystics vs Fever Odds
| Odds | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Mystics | +8.5 (-110) | +320 | 162 |
| Indiana Fever | -8.5 (-110) | -410 |
Key Storylines
- Indiana dealing with injuries: Caitlin Clark has missed a ton of time with a groin injury for the Fever. It is possible that she returns for this game but we don’t know her status for sure just yet. Aari McDonald (foot) and Sydney Colson (ACL) are out for the season. The Fever signed veteran Odyssey Sims to a hardship deal.
- Home-court advantage: Indiana is 10–7 at home. They lost their last game at home to the Dallas Wings and will aim to respond to that loss with a win here.
- Mystics fading late: Washington is 14–18 and 5–11 on the road. They have lost four of their last five games and trading Brittney Sykes to Seattle was a clear sign that they are building toward the future instead of trying to make the playoffs in the present.
- Playoff picture: The Fever are in sixth place in the WNBA standings entering Friday’s play. They are hoping to move up to secure a more favorable matchup in the first round of the playoffs. Washington is in 10th place in the standings and heading in the wrong direction as they try to move into the top eight.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- These teams are 1-1 against each other so far this season.
- The home teams are 2-0 in this season series so far.
- Indiana is 17-16 against the spread so far this year.
- Washington is 15-17 against the spread for the season.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offense: Indiana is fifth in the league in offensive rating. Washington is 11th in the league in offensive rating.
- Defense: The Fever are seventh in the league in defensive rating and Washington ranks eighth.
- Pace: The Fever play at a faster pace than the Mystics. Indiana is fourth in the league in pace this year.
Mystics vs Fever Model Projection
Score Projection: Mystics 76 – Fever 88
Win Probability: Washington Mystics 25.5%, Indiana Fever 74.5%
Final Thoughts
The Fever could look a lot different than they have looked in previous games if Caitlin Clark comes back. But even if she doesn’t return for this game, I think the addition of Sims will give Indiana some much-needed backcourt depth. I’ll lay the points with the Fever here as it feels like the Mystics have started jockeying for draft positioning instead of playoff positioning.
