The Washington Mystics will head west to face the Golden State Valkyries on Saturday night at Chase Center in San Francisco. Washington arrives needing a win to keep their slim postseason hopes alive after dropping five straight. Golden State sits above .500 and is trying to protect its playoff positioning. Before this huge game in the WNBA, continue reading to get my Mystics vs Valkyries prediction.
Our Mystics vs Valkyries Pick
- Pick: Golden State Valkyries -4.5
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Mystics @ Golden State Valkyries
- Date & Time: August 30, 2025, 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
Mystics vs Valkyries Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Valkyries | -4.5 | -200 | 151.5 |
| Washington Mystics | +4.5 | +170 |
Key Storylines
- Washington’s slide: The Mystics have lost five straight and need victories in the final stretch of the season to remain in playoff contention.
- Rookie production: Sonia Citron (15.3 PPG) and Kiki Iriafen (13.0 PPG, 8.6 RPG) have been the offensive engine for Washington this season. They will need to carry the scoring load after the Mystics traded Brittney Sykes at the deadline.
- Golden State balance: The Golden State Valkyries don’t have a player averaging 15 points per game this season. They are incredibly balanced and have used that balance to exceed expectations all season long.
- Playoff picture: The Valkyries come into this game in eighth place in the WNBA standings. Washington is in 10th place and is running out of time to make the top eight to get into the playoffs.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Past meetings: The Valkyries hold a 3-0 lead in the season series between these teams. All three of those previous meetings have been decided by five points or fewer.
- ATS records: Golden State has been gone 22-14-1 against the spread this year. Washington is 18-21 against the spread in 2025.
- Home/road splits: Golden State is 10-7 at Chase Center this year. Washington’s road record is a dismal 6-13.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offensive efficiency: Golden State is ninth in the WNBA in offensive rating. Washington ranks 11th in that statistical category.
- Defensive efficiency: Both teams have been solid on defense this season. Golden State is sixth in the league in defensive rating and the Mystics are seventh.
- Pace of play: Both teams are in the bottom five in the WNBA in pace and that could be great news for under bettors on Saturday night.
Mystics vs Valkyries Model Projection
Score Projection: Washington Mystics 74 – Golden State Valkyries 82
Win Probability: Washington Mystics 38%, Golden State Valkyries 62%
Final Thoughts
I think we are going to see a low-scoring and competitive game between these teams once again. But the Valkyries should have the upper hand and I expect them to cover the spread at home. The Valkyries have been all-in this season and the Mystics feel like they have punted on this season to focus on the future. That difference in priorities should help the Valkyries win this game by at least five points on their home floor.
