The Washington Mystics and Chicago Sky will play for the fourth time this season on Tuesday night. Washington has won the first three games of this season series and will look to complete the sweep in the Windy City. Before these Eastern Conference opponents face off in the WNBA, continue reading to get my Mystics vs Sky prediction.
Our Mystics vs Sky Pick
- Pick: Washington Mystics -4.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Mystics @ Chicago Sky
- Date & Time: August 5, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
Mystics vs Sky Odds
| Type | Line |
|---|---|
| Spread | Mystics –4.5 |
| Moneyline | Mystics –238, Sky +195 |
| Total Points | 158.5 |
Key Storylines
- The Mystics and Sky are both outside of the top eight in the WNBA standings. Washington is one game behind the Golden State Valkyries for the final playoff spot and Chicago is well out of postseason contention.
- These teams are both struggling. Washington has lost three of its last four games and Chicago has dropped eight in a row.
- Washington’s Georgia Amoore is out for the season. But their rookie core has been excellent with Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen both making impact plays.
- Angel Reese and Ariel Atkins could return for the Sky in this game but that might not be enough to help Chicago snap its losing streak.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Washington leads the season series 3‑0 and got one of those wins in Chicago.
- Both teams are below .500 against the spread this season. Chicago is 12-16 against the spread and Washington is 13-15 ATS.
- Chicago is 4-10 at home this season. Washington is 4-9 on the road. Something has to give.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Angel Reese (CHI) | Over 14.5 points | Reese has averaged 20.3 points per game against the Mystics this year. |
| Brittney Sykes (WAS) | Over 13.5 points | Scored 18 in her last game and against Chicago. Sykes is a steady offensive weapon. |
| Shakira Austin (WAS) | Over 15.5 points | Austin scored 16 points in her last game against a loaded Atlanta frontcourt. |
| Sonia Citron (WAS) | Over 13.5 points | Citron had a career‑high 28 points in Washington’s last game against the Sky. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- The Sky are 12th in the WNBA in offensive rating and 13th in defensive rating out of 13 WNBA teams.
- Washington is 11th in offensive rating and eighth in defensive rating.
- Key matchups: The Mystics are vastly superior on the perimeter with Citron and Sykes and if Atkins is out things could get worse for Chicago there. The battle in the paint will likely hinge on whether or not Reese is able to suit up for Chicago.
Mystics vs Sky Model Projection
Score Projection: Mystics 92 – Sky 79
Win Probability: Mystics 60%, Sky 40%
Final Thoughts
I would recommend waiting until Angel Reese’s status is confirmed before betting on this game in the WNBA. But I do think that the Mystics will win this game and cover the spread prior to confirmation of Reese’s health status. Washington does have some frontcourt depth to contend with Reese and Kamilla Cardoso and the Mystics’ perimeter advantage will be too much for Chicago to overcome.
