The Washington Mystics hit the road to face the Atlanta Dream on Friday, June 20, 2025, in an Eastern Conference showdown. These teams have split the first two games of their season series this year, with this being their first meeting held in Atlanta in 2025. Continue reading to get my analysis of this game, including my Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream prediction.
Our Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream Pick
- Spread: Dream –7.5
- Total: Over 159.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Mystics @ Atlanta Dream
- Date & Time: Friday, June 20, 2025, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Gateway Center Arena, College Park, GA
- Broadcast: ION
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dream | –7.5 | –340 | 159.5 |
| Mystics | +7.5 | +270 |
Key Storylines
- Atlanta has surged to an 8–4 record and is second in the East. Allisha Gray (20.4 PPG) and Rhyne Howard (17.3 PPG) lead a potent offense in Atlanta.
- Washington, at 5–7, is coming off a road win over the Chicago Sky earlier this week. They did, however, suffer an 89–56 home loss to Atlanta just five days prior to this matchup.
- Washington’s rookies (Sonia Citron, Kiki Iriafen) have shown flashes of brilliance, but inconsistency has been a part of the maturation process, which could be a problem against an experienced Dream team.
- The double-big lineup of Atlanta with Brionna Jones and Brittney Griner has terrorized most of the league so far in 2025 and they will look to continue to have success with that lineup in this game.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- In their June 15 meeting, Atlanta crushed Washington 89–56, with Washington winning their first meeting of the season 94-90 on May 16.
- The Dream are 9–3 ATS, while the Mystics are 7-5.
- Atlanta is 5-6-1 on over/unders this season, while the Mystics are 4-8 on the year.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offense: Atlanta averages 84.3 PPG and is third in the W in offensive rating, Washington averages 77.6 and is 10th in offensive rating.
- Defense: The Dream allow 76.5 PPG and are fifth in defensive rating, the Mystics give up 79.6 per game and rank eighth in defensive rating.
- Pace: The Mystics play at the sixth-fastest pace in the WNBA, Atlanta ranks 11th out of 13 teams.
- Potential Mismatches: The duo of Griner and Jones should have a field day against the younger frontcourt of the Mystics in this contest.
Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream Model Projection
Score Projection: Dream 88 – Mystics 79
Win Probability: Dream 67%, Mystics 33%
Final Thoughts
The Atlanta Dream have all the momentum and talent to impose their will in this contest. Backed by sharp shooting, defensive consistency, and recent lopsided success over their opponents, Atlanta should be able to cover the spread. The over is a solid play too, given the issues Washington has had guarding Atlanta in their two meetings so far this year.
