The Seattle Storm and Washington Mystics will face off for the second time this season on Saturday night. The Mystics stole the first game of the season series in Seattle a couple of weeks ago. Seattle will look to exact revenge on Washington in this matchup from Washington, D.C. Here, I break down this inter-conference matchup in the WNBA and give you my Storm vs Mystics prediction.
Our Storm vs Mystics Pick
- Pick: Washington Mystics +4
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Seattle Storm @ Washington Mystics
- Date & Time: July 26, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: CareFirst Arena, Washington, DC
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
Storm vs Mystics Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Storm −4 | Storm −180, Mystics +150 | 155.5 |
Key Storylines
- Seattle enters off a commanding 95‑57 blowout over Chicago and has gone 2-1 since its 74‑69 loss to Washington on July 13.
- The Mystics have lost two straight games after beating the Storm. They have given up 96 points per game in two straight losses to the LA Sparks.
- The Mystics enter Saturday’s action in eighth place in the WNBA standings. A win here could help their chances of holding onto a playoff spot as the season progresses.
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- Washington beat Seattle in their lone meeting of the season so far.
- Seattle is 13-12 against the spread this season.
- Washington is 11-12 against the spread in 2025.
- Washington is 7-4 at home this season. Seattle is 7-5 on the road.
- The first meeting of the season between these teams went under the total with 143 total points scored.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins‑Smith | Over 1.5 3‑pointers | Diggins drilled 3 triples in her 21‑point outing last time out against the Chicago Sky. |
| Brittney Sykes | Over 14.5 points | Sykes is a consistent scorer for the Mystics and scored 19 points against the Storm earlier in the year. |
| Shakira Austin | Over 7.5 rebounds | With Aaliyah Edwards potentially out for Washington we could see more rebounding from Austin. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Seattle is seventh in the WNBA in offense rating. They are third in the league in defensive rating.
- Washington is 11th in the WNBA in offensive rating and eighth in defensive rating.
- The Mystics rank fifth in the league in pace. Seattle plays much slower at ninth in the pace rankings.
- Matchup to Watch: The frontcourt depth of the Mystics could wear down the duo of Nneka Ogwumike and Ezi Magbegor. This sill be especially important if the Mystics can get Magbegor in foul trouble early.
Storm vs Mystics Model Projection
Score Projection: Seattle Storm 82 – Washington Mystics 79
Win Probability: Seattle Storm 53%, Washington Mystics 47%
Final Thoughts
I think we see a very close game here no matter what the final result ends up being. The Storm are battle-tested. But the young core of the Mystics has punched above its weight throughout this season. I think the Storm wins this game but the Mystics cover the number on their home floor.
