The Seattle Storm ride into Barclays Center to face the New York Liberty on Sunday, July 6. Both teams got a win in their last game, and with both teams in playoff positioning in the WNBA, this game has major implications in the race to finish in the top four. Here, I break down this matchup from Brooklyn and give you my Storm vs Liberty prediction for Sunday.
Our Storm vs Liberty Pick
- Pick: Storm +5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Seattle Storm @ New York Liberty
- Date & Time: Sunday, July 6, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
- Broadcast: CBS
| Line | Odds |
|---|---|
| Spread | New York –5 |
| Moneyline | New York –230 / Seattle +190 |
| Total | 166.5 |
Key Storylines
- Seattle enters with an 11–7 record and got a key win on the road over the Atlanta Dream in their last game. They will look to pass another major test in this game.
- New York stands at 12–5 and snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over the LA Sparks in their last game. Still, they have been struggling without Jonquel Jones on the floor due to an ankle injury.
- This is the third straight road game for the Storm, which could be taxing on the Storm.
- Both teams are in the top five in the WNBA standings and the winner here would help their playoff positioning.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Last meeting (June 22): Seattle took a surprise 89–79 win in Seattle, winning outright as an underdog.
- New York is 7–1 at home, Seattle is 5–4 on the road.
- ATS: New York is 6-10-1 ATS, Seattle is 10–8 ATS.
- O/U: Liberty games have gone 10-7 to the over, the Storm are 11-7 to the over.
Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins | Over 16.5 PTS | She averages 18.5 PPG and is Seattle’s primary scoring weapon. |
| Breanna Stewart | Under 20.5 PTS | She’s averaging 20.5 PPG but has a tough matchup against Ogwumike here. |
| Nneka Ogwumike | Over 6.5 REB | Leads the Storm with 7.8 rebounds per game and should take advantage of Jonquel Jones’ absence. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offensive Efficiency: New York ranks second in the WNBA on offensive rating. Seattle is sixth in offensive rating.
- Defensive Efficiency: The Liberty are third in defensive rating, while Seattle ranks seventh.
- Pace: The Liberty play at the fastest pace in the WNBA, while Seattle is seventh in pace.
Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty Model Projection
Score Projection: New York Liberty 84 – Seattle Storm 82
Win Probability: New York: 55%, Seattle: 45%
Final Thoughts
Without Jonquel Jones in the lineup for the Liberty, this is an evenly matched game as far as I’m concerned. Look for the Liberty to win a tight game, evening the season series between these teams. But I’ll take the points with the Storm in a game that should come down to the final couple of possessions in Brooklyn.
