The Seattle Storm will visit the Minnesota Lynx at Target Center on Thursday night. The Lynx have been dominant at home all year and are heavy favorites against a Storm team that is desperate to get a win to help their playoff hopes. Before these Western Conference rivals face off in Minneapolis, continue reading to get my Storm vs Lynx prediction for tonight’s game.
Our Storm vs Lynx Pick
- Pick: Minnesota Lynx -8.5
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Seattle Storm @ Minnesota Lynx
- Date & Time: Thursday, August 28, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
Storm vs Lynx Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | +8.5 (-110) | +320 | Over 164.5 |
| Minnesota Lynx | -8.5 (-110) | -425 | Under 164.5 |
Key Storylines
- Seattle Storm: The Storm have won three of their last five games. They lost their last game to the Indiana Fever on the road and will look to bounce back in this contest. Seattle sits in eighth place in the WNBA standings and currently occupies the final playoff spot in the league. Seattle hopes to extend their 1.5-game lead over the LA Sparks in the race for eighth place in the league.
- Minnesota Lynx: The Lynx enter this game with the best record in the league. They beat the Indiana Fever twice in a row in their last two games. Their double-digit win over the Fever in their last game was highlighted by Napheesa Collier’s 32-point outing. The Lynx’s home-court advantage has been huge. Minnesota has an 18-1 record at Target Center going into this Western Conference contest.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Recent Meetings: The Lynx hold a 2-1 lead in the season series against Seattle for the year. The home team is 2-1 in games played between these teams this season so far.
- ATS Records: The Lynx are 22-14-1 against the spread this season. They are tied for the best record against the spread in the league for the year. Seattle is 16-23 against the spread in 2025.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offensive/Defensive Metrics: The Lynx lead the league in both offensive and defensive rating. Seattle is eighth in the league in offensive rating and fourth in defensive rating.
- Pace of Play: The Lynx play at a slower pace than Seattle. The Lynx are 11th in pace and the Storm rank sixth in pace.
Storm vs Lynx Model Projection
- Score Projection: Seattle Storm 78 – Minnesota Lynx 88
- Win Probability: Seattle Storm 25%, Minnesota Lynx 75%
Final Thoughts
The Seattle Storm are the more desperate team coming into this contest as they look to improve their seeding late in the season. But the Lynx have been the most dominant team in the WNBA this season. They should improve to 19-1 at home for the year and cover the spread in this huge game in the Western Conference.
