The Seattle Storm and Las Vegas Aces will duel in the desert on Friday night in the WNBA. These teams split their first two meetings of the season in Seattle and will look to gain the upper hand over one another in this game. With injuries potentially playing a key role on both sides, we attempt to make sense of the betting markets with this Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces prediction.
Our Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces Pick
- Spread: Aces +4.5
- Total: Over 163.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Seattle Storm @ Las Vegas Aces
- Date & Time: Friday, June 20, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: ION
| Odds | Line |
|---|---|
| Spread | Storm –4.5 |
| Moneyline | Storm -198 / Aces +164 |
| Total | 163.5 |
Key Storylines
- On the injury front, there are questions about whether or not A’ja Wilson will play for Las Vegas after missing some time in concussion protocol. Seattle’s Gabby Williams’ status is also up in the air after she left the Storm’s game against the LA Sparks with an ankle injury.
- Las Vegas is also without Megan Gustafson and Cheyenne Parker-Tyus due to injuries, while Katie Lou Samuelson is out for the year for the Storm.
- Seattle has dropped won four of its last five games, including a win in its most recent outing against Los Angeles.
- Las Vegas has struggled without Wilson, losing two straight games and four of its last five.
- This will be Jewell Loyd’s third game this season against her former team. She has averaged just 12 points per game in the first two.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- These teams are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head this season, with Seattle winning the first encounter 102–82 on May 25 and Vegas winning 75-70 over the Storm on June 1.
- Aces are 3-8 ATS this season, while the Storm are 7-5.
- Seattle is 3-3 on the road, Las Vegas is 3-2 at home.
- Las Vegas is 6-5 to the over so far this season, while Seattle is 6-6 on totals in 2025.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Pace: Vegas ranks fifth in the WNBA in pace, while Seattle sits in 10th. Seattle would prefer to slow things down and prevent the Aces from getting out in transition.
- Offense: The Storm rank fifth in offensive rating, while Las Vegas is an uncharacteristically bad ninth.
- Defense: Seattle also has the edge in defensive rating, placing sixth while the Aces are ranked ninth.
- Potential Mismatches: If she plays, Wilson’s size and post play loom large versus a Storm team that has paint protection from Ezi Magbegor, who is susceptible to foul trouble.
Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm Model Prediction
Score Projection: Seattle Storm 88 – Las Vegas Aces 86
Win Probability: Seattle 58%, Las Vegas 42%
Final Thoughts
Bettors will likely want to wait and see what A’ja Wilson’s status is before locking in any action on this game. But we think this contest will be close provided that Wilson does take the floor after missing the last few games. The return of her scoring touch will help make up for the Aces’ lack of depth, in a game that shouldn’t be decided by more than a couple of possessions.
