The Seattle Storm will face the Connecticut Sun on Wednesday morning. Connecticut has the worst record in the WNBA. But they will have some extra crowd support in this early-morning camp day game. Here, I break down this inter-conference game and make my Storm vs Sun prediction.
Our Storm vs Sun Pick
- Pick: Connecticut Sun +17
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Seattle Storm @ Connecticut Sun
- Date & Time: July 9, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
| Line | |
|---|---|
| Spread | Seattle -17 |
| Moneyline | Seattle -2400 / Connecticut +1200 |
| Total | 156.5 |
Key Storylines
- Connecticut seeks to snap a 10-game losing streak in this game. Connecticut is 2-16 overall and 1-7 at home.
- Seattle has won two games in a row. They have earned impressive road wins over the Atlanta Dream and New York Liberty in their last two games.
- Connecticut is without Marina Mabrey (knee) and has Jaelyn Brown listed as day‑to‑day.
- Right now, my biggest point of intrigue for this game is whether or not the Sun can keep things competitive. They have lost five straight games by double-digits.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Seattle won the first meeting of this season series 97-81 on June 27.
- Connecticut is 7-11 against the spread for the year. Seattle is 11-8 ATS.
- The Storm have gone 11-8 to the over on the year. Connecticut is 8-9-1 on their totals.
- Seattle is 6-4 on the road in 2025.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Seattle is 6th in the WNBA in offense rating, defensive rating, and net rating.
- Connecticut is 13th out of 13 teams in offensive rating, defensive rating, and net rating.
- Seattle ranks 8th in the W in pace, the Sun rank 12th.
- Key mismatch: Seattle’s perimeter defenders (Gabby Williams and Skylar Diggins) will pressure Connecticut’s turnover-prone ball‑handlers.
Seattle Storm vs Connecticut Sun Model Projection
Score Projection: Seattle 80 – Connecticut 65
Win Probability: Seattle 91%, Connecticut 9%
Final Thoughts
The Storm are clearly the stronger team going into this game. But I’m not convinced that they are going to cover the spread in this contest. Connecticut will have a loud crowd backing them in this game. And while I’m convinced this Connecticut team is one of the worst in WNBA history, I do think they can keep this game within 15 or so. I’ll take the points with the Sun in this game, though I could look foolish for doing so.
