The Minnesota Lynx (12-1) travel to Washington to take on the Mystics (6-8) on Tuesday, June 24, 2025. Both teams are coming off of wins on Sunday and will look to continue their winning ways in this inter-conference matchup. Here, we break this game down from all angles and give you our Minnesota Lynx vs Washington Mystics prediction for Tuesday night.
Our Minnesota Lynx vs Washington Mystics Pick
- Spread: Minnesota –7
- Total: Over 160.5
- Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Minnesota Lynx @ Washington Mystics
- Date & Time: June 24, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: CareFirst Arena, Washington, DC
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| MIN –7 | MIN –325 / WAS +260 | 160.5 |
Key Storylines
- Minnesota has the best record in the WNBA entering this week, posting a 12-1 record, which they will look to improve upon here.
- There are questions about the health of Lynx star Napheesa Collier going into this contest. Collier is leading the league in scoring with 24.4 PPG, plus 8.5 RPG and 1.8 SPG. She missed Minnesota’s win over the LA Sparks on Sunday due to injury and is listed as day-to-day.
- Washington is buoyed by exciting rookies Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen. Citron is averaging 14.6 PPG on 49.3% shooting, while Iriafen has delivered 13.4 PPG and 8.6 RPG in limited minutes
- Brittney Sykes is also a stalwart for the Mystics, contributing 19.6 PPG and 4.8 APG to lead the team. But she takes on a Lynx defense that ranks second in the W in defensive rating.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- This is the first of three games to be played between these teams during the 2025 WNBA season.
- The Lynx are 7-6 against the spread this season, while Washington is 8-6 agaisnt the spread in 2025.
- The under is 8-6 in Mystics games this year, while Lynx games have gone 8-5 to the under.
- Minnesota is 5-1 on the road so far this season, while the Mystics are 4-3 at home.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | Over 21.5 PTS | Leading the league in scoring, she’s poised for another heavy usage night if she plays here. |
| Brittney Sykes | 25+ PTS+AST | Versatile playmaker and go-to scorer for Washington. She should contribute both with her scoring and passing for the Mystics. |
| Sonia Citron | Over 12.5 PTS | Energized rookie off to a hot start, playing at home could boost her output against a good team. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offense: Minnesota 3rd in the WNBA in offensive rating, Washington ranks 10th.
- Defense: Minnesota is 2nd in the W in defensive rating, Washington is 8th.
- Pace: Both of these teams are below-average in pace. Washington is 8th in pace, while the Lynx play at the slowest tempo of all 13 teams in the W.
- Potential Mismatches: Minnesota’s frontcourt, led by Collier, will exploit Washington’s young big rotation. Conversely, the Mystics may find driving lanes from their quick guards.
Minnesota Lynx vs Washington Mystics Model Projection
- Score Projection: Minnesota 88 – Washington 79
- Win Probability: Minnesota 68%, Washington 32%
Final Thoughts
Minnesota enters this game as clear favorites thanks to their dominant road record, elite offensive efficiency behind Collier, and a well-rounded roster. Washington has exceeded expectations early, but is still figuring things out with a young roster. Expect a relatively high-scoring contest, but for Minnesota’s superior defense and experience to help them win and cover the spread, so long as Collier is able to get back on the floor.
