The Minnesota Lynx will visit the Seattle Storm Tuesday night at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle. The Lynx have the best record in the WNBA but could be without their top star for this Western Conference matchup. Before these championship contenders take the court against one another, keep reading to get my Lynx vs Storm prediction from the Pacific Northwest.
Our Lynx vs Storm Pick
- Pick: Storm -2
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Minnesota Lynx @ Seattle Storm
- Date & Time: August 5, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
Lynx vs Storm Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Storm –2 | Lynx +110, Storm –130 | 155.5 |
Key Storylines
The Lynx enter with an elite 24‑5 record and they sit in the top spot in the WNBA standings. Napheesa Collier is the top contributor for the Lynx and is the clear favorite to win WNBA MVP. But she is listed as day-to-day after suffering an injury in Minnesota’s 53-point win over the Las Vegas Aces. Whether or not Collier is able to play could decide how competitive the Lynx are in this game.
The Storm are 16‑13 overall and 8‑7 at home. They lost to the Indiana Fever on their home floor on Sunday and will look to rebound from that loss against the best team in the league here. Nneka Ogwumike leads the Storm with 18 points per game. Seattle will need a big game from Ogwumike here as the Storm have fallen to sixth place in the WNBA standings and are in danger of landing in an unfavorable seed in the playoffs.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
The season series is tied at 1‑1. Both teams have won on their home floor in the previous games between these teams. That includes a 94-84 win for the Storm over Minnesota in June. Seattle has lost three straight home games and four of their last five at Climate Pledge Arena. They can’t afford many more home losses as they look to improve their playoff positioning.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | Over 16.5 points | Ogwumike could have a huge night if Collier isn’t available to guard her for the Lynx. |
| Courtney Williams | Over 6.5 assists | Williams should have the ball in her hands more with Collier’s status in doubt. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
The Lynx rank first in the WNBA in offensive rating, defensive rating, and net rating. Seattle is a team that puts defense first. They are ninth in the league in offensive rating but second in the WNBA in defensive rating. Both teams are in the bottom four in the league in pace and the combination of good defense and slow play could lead to an under.
Lynx vs Storm Model Projection
Score Projection: Storm 88 – Lynx 81
Win Probability: Storm 59%, Lynx 41%
Final Thoughts
Bettors may want to wait until they know whether or not Collier is going to play before placing their bets on this game. If Collier does end up able to go, Minnesota will likely close as a favorite in this contest. But prior to any announcement on Collier, I’ll take the Storm to win and cover the spread at home. We should see a desperate Storm team here and the potential for Collier to be absent makes the Storm a high-upside play.
