The Minnesota Lynx and New York Liberty will meet for the final time in the 2025 WNBA regular season on Tuesday night. Minnesota has dominated the season series between these teams this year. They will look to complete a season sweep over the Liberty in this game. Below, you will find a full preview of this massive matchup in the WNBA, including my Lynx vs Liberty prediction.
Our Lynx vs Liberty Pick
- Pick: Minnesota Lynx Moneyline
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Minnesota Lynx @ New York Liberty
- Date & Time: August 19, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
- Broadcast: NBA TV
Lynx vs Liberty Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| MIN –1.5 | MIN -110 / NYL -110 | 167.5 |
Key Storylines
- Minnesota has won six games in a row coming into this contest. The Lynx are closing in on clinching the top spot in the league standings and home-court advantage throughout the playoffs. Another win over the Liberty would be a huge step toward clinching that top spot.
- New York is without Breanna Stewart and Nyara Sabally going into this contest. Minnesota could have Napheesa Collier back for this game after she missed some time with an ankle injury.
- The Liberty have struggled of late. They have lost three of their last four games and they are in danger of falling out of the top four in the standings if they continue losing games.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
This will be the fourth regular-season meeting between these teams this season. Minnesota leads the series 3-0. That includes a recent 86-80 win on August 16 in Minnesota. Minnesota won their only game in New York this year. They beat the Liberty 83-71 at Barclays Center on August 10. The Lynx have won nine of their last ten games and the Liberty have dropped six of their last ten.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu | Under 17.5 points | Ionescu has stayed under this total in two of her last three games against the Lynx. |
| Courtney Williams | Over 6.5 assists | Williams has averaged 8.3 assists per game against the Liberty this season. |
| Emma Meesseman | Under 13.5 points | Two of Meesseman’s three lowest-scoring games with the Liberty have come against the Lynx. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Minnesota ranks first in the WNBA in offensive rating, defensive rating, and net rating.
- New York has dropped to third in offensive rating and sixth in defensive rating.
- The Liberty play at the fastest pace in the league and Minnesota is 10th. Whichever team can impose its pace on this game could have the edge on Tuesday night.
Lynx vs Liberty Model Projection
Score Projection: Minnesota 85 – New York 80
Win Probability: Minnesota 60%, New York 40%
Final Thoughts
I think there is a lot of upside betting the Lynx in this contest. There is a chance that Collier comes back for this contest. Her return would make the Lynx a big favorite by tip-off. But the Lynx are 2-0 against the Liberty without Collier and I think they will get another win over the team that beat them in the WNBA Finals here.
