The Minnesota Lynx will square off with the Las Vegas Aces on Saturday afternoon at Michelob Ultra Arena. The Lynx continue to lead the WNBA standings going into this weekend’s action. But they face a tough road test here against an Aces team desperately clinging to a playoff position. Before the lone game on Saturday’s WNBA schedule tips off, continue reading to get my Lynx vs Aces prediction.
Our Lynx vs Aces Pick
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces +5.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Minnesota Lynx @ Las Vegas Aces
- Date & Time: August 2, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: ABC
Lynx vs Aces Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| MIN -5.5 | MIN -225 / LVA +185 | 164 |
Key Storylines
- Minnesota remains the top team in the league with a 23-5 record. They won their WNBA Finals rematch with the New York Liberty in their last game in a statement win at home.
- There are questions about how the Lynx will perform after playing in such a big game on Wednesday. The Lynx are well-coached under Cheryl Reeve. But a letdown is still a possibility from Minnesota here.
- The Aces enter this game in seventh place in the WNBA standings. Their place in the playoffs is by no means guaranteed. That makes a game like this one so important to the Aces.
- This game features last year’s MVP in A’ja Wilson matched up with this year’s MVP favorite in Napheesa Collier. That will be the matchup to watch in the league this weekend.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Minnesota has won their first two meetings with the Aces. Both of those wins were in Minnesota and came by double-digits.
- The Aces are 11-16 against the spread this season. Minnesota is 16-11-1 ATS.
- Minnesota has gone 15-13 in over/unders this year. The Aces are 12-15 on their totals.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Minnesota is first in the league in offensive rating, defensive rating, and net rating.
- Las Vegas is eighth in offensive rating, ninth in defensive rating, and eighth in net rating.
- The Aces are sixth in the league in pace and the Lynx are 11th.
- Key matchup: Unsurprisingly, my key matchup for this game is the matchup between Wilson and Collier. Whichever star performs best could be the reason their team wins this game.
Lynx vs Aces Model Projection
Score Projection: Minnesota Lynx 88 – Las Vegas Aces 84
Win Probability: Minnesota 65%, Las Vegas 35%
Final Thoughts
The Lynx just made a huge statement by beating their biggest competition for this year’s championship. In this game, I expect the Aces to be more competitive than they were in their first two games against the Lynx this season. The Aces may not win this game outright as an underdog. But I do think that they will cover the spread behind a huge game from Wilson.
