Tuesday’s WNBA schedule features the Los Angeles Sparks traveling to take on the Chicago Sky in an inter-conference matchup. Both teams enter this one enduring rough spells this season and are desperate for momentum. Here, I will pick who I think will get that momentum as I make my Los Angeles Sparks vs Chicago Sky prediction for this matchup.
Our Los Angeles Sparks vs Chicago Sky Pick
- Spread: Sparks -5
- Total: Over 163
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Los Angeles Sparks @ Chicago Sky
- Date & Time: Tuesday, June 24, 2025, 8:00 pm ET
- Venue: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: NBA TV and WNBA League Pass
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Sparks –5 | Sparks –198 / Sky +164 | 163 |
Key Storylines
- Injury changes: Chicago is again without Courtney Vandersloot, who suffered a season‑ending ACL on June 8. Meanwhile, LA is without Cameron Brink, Rae Burrell, and Odyssey Sims, though Sims could be back for this game potentially.
- Sparks roster turnover: L.A. has brought in Grace Berger and Shey Peddy recently to compensate for their injury absences, with Peddy making an impact in LA’s last game against the Minnesota Lynx.
- Star vs depth: Kelsey Plum is carrying LA, averaging 20.5 points and 5.5 assists per game. The Sky rely on a little bit of scoring from everyone, as they don’t have a player averaging 15 points per game on the year.
- Desperation Setting In: Both clubs are well below the .500 mark for the season and will need to turn things around in a hurry to avoid falling out of playoff contention too quickly, making a game like this one a huge opportunity for both teams.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- The Sparks won the first game of the season series between these teams, winning 91-78 in Los Angeles on May 25.
- Chicago is 5-8 against the spread this season, while the Sparks are 5-9 ATS.
- Both teams have seen the majority of their games go over their respective totals. Chicago is 7-6 to the over for the year, while the Sparks are 8-5-1 to the over for the year.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum | Over 18.5 points | Plum is on a tear early in the season and should take advantage of the Sky’s struggling defense. |
| Angel Reese | Over 11.5 rebounds | Reese leads Chicago with 11.5 RPG and had 12 boards in LA earlier this season against the Sparks. |
| Azura Stevens | 20+ points + rebound combo | Stevens is averaging 13.4 PPG and 8.8 RPG, and scored 24 points against the Sky in May. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offense: The Sparks rank 8th in the WNBA in offensive rating, while the Sky are 12th out of 13 teams.
- Defense: Neither team is good defensively, as the Sparks are 10th in defensive rating and the Sky are 12th there as well.
- Pace: Both teams are in the middle of the pack in pace this WNBA season. LA is 6th in the league in pace, while Chicago is 7th.
- Potential Mismatches: The frontcourt duo of Angel Reese and Kamilla Cardoso could have their way against Dearica Hamby and a less physical LA frontcourt.
Los Angeles Sparks vs Chicago Sky Model Projection
- Score Projection: Sparks 86 – Sky 78
- Win Probability: Sparks 65%, Sky 35%
Final Thoughts
As far as I’m concerned, the value lies on L.A. in this game, whose backcourt firepower should help them to defeat the underperforming Sky. Plum should take advantage of the defensive issues of Chicago, who would be the worst team in the league on both ends of the floor if not for the Connecticut Sun. Look for this game to go the way of the Sparks, while the lack of consistent defending on both sides should lead this contest over the total.
