The Las Vegas Aces will visit the Dallas Wings at College Park Center in Arlington on Sunday afternoon. The Aces need a win to stay in the top eight in the WNBA standings to close out this week’s action. Dallas is just looking to find some positives in what has been a rough first year under head coach Chris Koclanes. Here, I break this game down from all angles and give you my Aces vs Wings prediction.
Our Aces vs Wings Pick
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces –9
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Las Vegas Aces @ Dallas Wings
- Date & Time: July 27, 2025, 4:00 PM ET
- Venue: College Park Center, Arlington, TX
- Broadcast: ESPN3
Aces vs Wings Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Aces –9 | Aces –440 / Wings +340 | 166 |
Key Storylines
The Las‑Vegas Aces are just below .500 at 12‑13 on the season. They have lost two games in a row coming into this contest in Dallas. That has put them in eighth place in the league standings and in danger of falling behind the Golden State Valkyries and out of playoff positioning should Vegas lose here.
Dallas sits at 7‑18 and is set to be without key contributors for this game. The Wings will be without standout rookie Paige Bueckers (rest), Myisha Hines‑Allen (right lower leg), and Maddie Siegrist (knee). That leaves Dallas shorthanded across the backcourt and frontcourt in the first game of a back-to-back for them. Dallas has lost four of its last five games and one of those losses was a four-point loss to Las Vegas on July 16.
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- Las Vegas leads the season series 2‑0. They won 88‑84 on June 13 and 90‑86 on July 16.
- The Aces are just 9-16 against the spread this season. The Wings are 11-14 against the spread in 2025.
- Vegas has gone 11-14 on over/unders this season. The Wings are 13-12 favoring the over this season.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Both teams are mediocre offensively. The Wings are seventh in offensive rating and the Aces are ninth in that category.
- Vegas is ninth in the league in defensive rating. The Wings are 10th in that department.
- Without Bueckers the pace of the Wings will be interesting to monitor. The ball may not move as much if Arike Ogunbowale handles it more given her tendency to use her dribbling to set up her own shot more often.
Aces vs Wings Model Projection
Score Projection: Las Vegas Aces 88 – Dallas Wings 76
Win Probability: Aces 71 %, Wings 29 %
Final Thoughts
The Aces have won two close games against the Wings so far this season. But we should see a more lopsided game this time around thanks to all of the players missing for the Wings. The absences of Bueckers and Hines-Allen will be especially impactful in this contest. I’ll lay the points with the Aces in a game they can’t afford to lose as their playoff future looks less and less secure by the day.
