The Indiana Fever head to Seattle to take on the Storm on Tuesday, June 24, 2025, in what promises to be an interesting WNBA matchup. Seattle enters as a slight favorite with home-court advantage, but Indiana’s explosive offense always makes them a threat. Here’s our in-depth look ahead of tip-off, including our Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm prediction.
Our Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm Pick
- Spread: Seattle Storm -2.5
- Total: Over 165.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Indiana Fever @ Seattle Storm
- Date & Time: June 24, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass / NBA TV
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever | +2.5 | +120 | 165.5 |
| Seattle Storm | -2.5 | -142 |
Key Storylines
- Seattle has rolled to a 9-5 record, playing well on both ends of the floor so far this season.
- Indiana (6-7) has Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston both clicking. Clark is averaging 19.8 PPG and 8.9 APG, while Boston is averaging 14.7 PPG and 8.2 RPG. But the consistency of their role players needs to improve for them to be true title contenders.
- Seattle lost sharpshooter Katie Lou Samuelson to a season-ending ACL injury back in May. But the injury report for both teams is mostly clear going into this contest.
- Clark returned mid-June from a quad strain, but Indiana is just 2-2 since her return to action.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- This is the first game of a three-game regular season series between these two teams in 2025.
- The Storm are 9-5 against the spread this season, the same record as their straight up mark.
- Indiana is 6-7 both straight up and against the spread.
- Seattle has gone 8-6 to the over on the year, the Fever are 8-5 to the under.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark | Under 19.5 PTS | Clark is 1/17 from three-point range in her last two games and could struggle against a good Seattle defense. |
| Aliyah Boston | Over 8.5 REB | Boston has cleared this number in four straight games for the Fever. |
| Skylar Diggins | 25+ PTS+AST | She’s averaging 18.4 PPG and 6.1 APG and she could exceed both of those numbers against an inconsistent Fever defense. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offense: The Storm rank 4th in the WNBA in offensive rating, Indiana ranks 5th.
- Defense: Indiana is slightly better on defense, ranking 5th in defensive rating to Seattle’s 6th.
- Pace: Fever prefer a faster tempo, ranking 3rd in pace, while the Storm are 10th in pace.
- Potential Mismatches: The duo of Gabby Williams and Skylar Diggins could have a big night after the defense of the Fever, which is weakest at the guard spots.
Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm Model Projection
- Score Projection: Indiana 84 – Seattle 88
- Win Probability: Indiana 47%, Seattle 53%
Final Thoughts
The Storm’s edge in closing out quarters and home-court advantage should tilt the scales in their favor on Tuesday night. Indiana’s offensive ceiling is high, but their lack of consistent defending should cost them in the Pacific Northwest. I lean toward Seattle to cover the spread and see the total going over 165.5, in what should be an entertaining matchup from Climate Pledge Arena.
