The Seattle Storm will host the Indiana Fever in a nationally televised WNBA matchup on Sunday afternoon. Indiana is on a hot streak coming into this contest. But the Fever enter this game without the services of Caitlin Clark. Here, I take a closer look at this game and make my Fever vs Storm prediction as Indiana looks to improve to 2-0 in Seattle on the season.
Our Fever vs Storm Pick
- Pick: Seattle Storm -3.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Indiana Fever @ Seattle Storm
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 3, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: ABC / ESPN+
Fever vs Storm Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Storm -3.5 | Storm –162, Fever +136 | 158.5 |
Key Storylines
- Caitlin Clark remains sidelined with a right groin injury. She’s out at least through August 12 per the latest reports. Indiana’s offensive engine is gone. But Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston are more than capable of picking up the slack.
- Indiana’s recent form is strong. They are riding a four‑game win streak that includes road wins over Dallas and Phoenix. They have been just fine without Caitlin Clark.
- Seattle at home remains a threat to the rest of the WNBA. They are 8-6 at home on the season. But they did take a loss at home to the LA Sparks on Friday night in a double-overtime thriller.
- Seattle roster depth: Seattle is the deeper team coming into this game. But the Fever surprised Seattle in the Pacific Northwest once this year and could do it again.
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- The Fever won the first game of this season series over the Storm in June.
- Boston scored 31 points against the Storm in their first meeting this year.
- Kelsey Mitchell scored 26 points in that 94-86 win for Indiana.
- Indiana has won four straight games. Seattle lost their most recent outing.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Seattle has the edge on defense. The Storm are behind only the Minnesota Lynx in defensive rating this season.
- Indiana has the superior offense by both offensive rating and points per game.
- Seattle plays a slower pace than the Fever and it will be interesting to see which style of play wins out.
- Indiana outrebounded Seattle 38-21 in their first meeting this season. Seattle will need to be better on the glass to avoid a second straight loss to LA.
Fever vs Storm Model Projection
Score Projection: Indiana 78 – Seattle 85
Win Probability: Indiana 42%, Seattle 58%
Final Thoughts
The Fever have played well without Clark over their last few games. But they have been very fortunate to face a soft road schedule after the All-Star break. This is by far the toughest road test they have faced since All-Star weekend. I think we see Indiana struggle without the threat of Clark here and Seattle’s defense should do a better job on Mitchell than they did in June. I will lay the points confidently with the Storm in this game.
