The Indiana Fever will head to Mohegan Sun Arena to face the Connecticut Sun on Sunday afternoon. Indiana enters the contest missing Caitlin Clark and struggling in recent games. They will hope that a trip to face the worst team in the WNBA will help them right the ship. Before tip-off in Connecticut, continue reading to get my Fever vs Sun prediction for Sunday.
Our Fever vs Sun Pick
- Pick: Sun +8
- Confidence: 2/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Indiana Fever @ Connecticut Sun
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 17, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT
- Broadcast: NBA TV
Fever vs Sun Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| IND -8 | IND -360 / CON +285 | 165.5 |
Key Storylines
- Indiana is without Caitlin Clark. They have lost four of their last five games coming into this contest and the lack of Clark has negatively impacted them on the offensive end of the floor.
- The Fever also lost backup point guards Sydney Colson (ACL) and Aari McDonald (foot fracture) to season-ending injuries. That has prompted them to bring in Odyssey Sims on a hardship deal.
- The Sun have the worst record in the WNBA at 6-26. They did get a win in their last game over the struggling Chicago Sky.
- The Fever have dropped to seventh in the WNBA standings and they are just a game and a half clear of the teams chasing them in the race for the playoffs.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- The Fever are 2-1 against the Sun so far this year.
- Two of the three games between these teams this season have been decided by single-digits.
- The Sun are 5-11 at home on the season.
- Indiana is 8-8 on the road in 2025.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Natasha Howard | Over 12.5 points | Howard has stepped up in Clark’s absence and has been more aggressive on the offensive end of the floor. |
| Aliyah Boston | Over 7.5 rebounds | This is a favorable matchup for Boston against a Sun team with a lackluster frontcourt. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- The Sun are dead last in the WNBA in offensive rating and net rating. They are 12th out of 13 teams in defensive rating.
- Indiana is fifth in the league in offensive rating and seventh in defensive rating.
- Both teams are near the middle of the league in pace and the Fever play a little faster.
Fever vs Sun Model Projection
Score Projection: Indiana Fever 82 – Connecticut Sun 78
Win Probability: Indiana Fever 74%, Connecticut Sun 26%
Final Thoughts
The Indiana Fever should be able to hold serve against the Connecticut Sun. But I’m not convinced that it is going to be a lopsided game by any means. Marina Mabrey and Tina Charles are more than capable of dragging the Sun to a competitive game here. I’ll take the points with Connecticut in the final game of the season between these teams.
