The Minnesota Lynx will host the Golden State Valkyries on Saturday, July 5, 2025 in a Western Conference matchup. The Lynx have the best record in the WNBA. But I’ve been impressed with the Valkyries as they have worked their way into the playoff hunt. Here’s a comprehensive preview of this game, including my Valkyries vs Lynx prediction for Saturday night.
Our Valkyries vs Lynx Pick
- Pick: Lynx -9.5
- Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Golden State Valkyries @ Minnesota Lynx
- Date & Time: July 5, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Lynx -9.5 | Lynx -425 / Valkyries +330 | 156.5 |
Key Storylines
- Golden State has reintegrated its top EuroBasket players, Janelle Salaün, Cecilia Zandalasini, and Temi Fagbenle. They practiced on Thursday and joined a Valkyries team that had a strong June without them.
- The Valkyries are 7-3 in their last 10 games. They are above .500 in their first season as a WNBA franchise.
- The Lynx are coming off a Commissioner’s Cup final loss to Indiana. Since then, they bounced back with a blowout win over the Washington Mystics on Thursday night.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
These teams met on June 2, when Minnesota won 86-75 in San Francisco. Minnesota is 10-7 ATS for the season, while Golden State is 11-5 against the spread in 2025. Both teams have gone under the total in the majority of their games this season, with Minnesota 9-8 to the under and Golden State 10-6 to the under.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Minnesota is first in the league in offensive rating, defensive rating, and net rating.
- Golden State is second in the WNBA in defensive rating and they will need to be great on defense to slow down the Lynx.
- Both teams are in the bottom four in the WNBA in pace this season.
- Potential Mismatch: Collier versus Valkyries’ frontline is a huge advantage for the Lynx in my opinion.
Valkyries vs Lynx Model Projection
Score Projection: Minnesota 90 – Golden State 80
Win Probability: Minnesota 75%, Golden State 25%
Final Thoughts
So far this season, the Lynx have not lost a home game that has counted in the standings. Their only home loss came in the Commissioner’s Cup final against the Fever. Here, I don’t expect the Lynx to take a loss at home. They should win by double-digits, as I’m expecting some regression from the Valkyries after they played very well during their recent extended homestand.
