The Indiana Fever will host the Golden State Valkyries on Wednesday in a matinee matchup. Both teams enter this game at 9-9. That means the winner will be ahead of the loser in the standings after this contest. Here, I break down this significant WNBA contest and make my Valkyries vs Fever prediction for Wednesday afternoon.
Our Valkyries vs Fever Pick
- Pick: Fever -6.5
- Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Golden State Valkyries @ Indiana Fever
- Date & Time: July 9, 2025, 12:00 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
- Broadcast: NBA TV
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| IND –6.5 | IND –325 / GSV +260 | 162.5 |
Key Storylines
- Both of these teams are at .500 going into this game and both will look to help their playoff chances with a win over the other.
- Caitlin Clark appears likely to return after missing five games with a groin injury. She was taking part in full-contact work again and her ability to score and distribute the ball would be nice for Indiana to have back.
- Golden State has lost two games in a row. They were beaten on the road by playoff contenders Minnesota and Atlanta. Natalie Nakase’s team will aim to bounce back in their third straight road game here.
- Golden State’s balance makes them such a tough team to prepare for. They don’t have any players averaging over 15 points per game.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- In their only meeting this season, Golden State beat Indiana 88‑77 on June 19 in San Francisco. The Valkyries were propelled by a key fourth-quarter run in that game.
- Indiana is 9-9 against the spread for the season. The Valkyries are 11-7 ATS.
- The Fever are 10-8 to the under in 2025. Golden State is 11-7 to the under.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark | Over 8.5 assists | Clark averages 8.9 APG and is likely to contribute an efficient assist total if she returns to the floor. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Indiana is fourth in the WNBA in offensive rating. The Valkyries rank 10th in that department.
- Golden State is third in the W in defensive rating. Indiana is not far behind in fifth place.
- Indiana plays with the 9th fastest pace in the league and Golden State is in 10th.
- Potential Mismatch: Indiana’s interior strength via Aliyah Boston could give them advantage against the smaller Valkyries.
Golden State Valkyries vs Indiana Fever Model Projection
- Score Projection: Golden State 80 – Indiana 88
- Win Probability: Golden State 34%, Indiana 66%
Final Thoughts
We have noticed that the Valkyries are much better at home than on the road this season. And this road game should be tougher than usual for the Valkyries as it is an early camp day start and the young crowd should be loud. That and the return of Caitlin Clark should help the Fever to win this game convincingly as their offense will be too much for the Valkyries to keep up with.
