The Atlanta Dream will host the Golden State Valkyries on Tuesday night at Gateway Center Arena in College Park. The Dream are hoping to build on a recent upset win over the top team in the WNBA. The Valkyries are seeking to rebound from a blowout loss on the road to the worst team in the W. Continue reading to get my Valkyries vs Dream prediction for this contest.
Our Valkyries vs Dream Pick
- Pick: Atlanta Dream −7.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Golden State Valkyries @ Atlanta Dream
- Date & Time: Tuesday, July 29, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Gateway Center Arena, College Park, GA
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
Valkyries vs Dream Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Dream –7.5 | Dream –375, Valkyries +295 | 157 |
Key Storylines
- Golden State enters at 11‑13 and just suffered a 95‑64 loss to the last‑place Connecticut Sun. Golden State All‑Star forward Kayla Thornton is lost for the season after knee surgery and the Valkyries face another tough test without her here.
- Atlanta arrives at 15‑10 and fresh off defeating Minnesota on the road. They did it without Rhyne Howard, who is out due to injury still.
- The Valkyries have been two completely different teams depending on where they are playing. Golden State is just 3-9 on the road but has been very good at home.
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- Atlanta holds a 1‑0 edge in this season series. The Dream beat Golden State 90-81 in early July.
- Dream are 14‑11 ATS overall while the Valkyries are 14-10 ATS.
- Atlanta has won two straight games. The Valkyries lost their last game to the Sun.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner | Over 11.5 PTS | Coming off 22 points last game and the Valkyries allow inside scoring regularly. |
| Veronica Burton | Over 17.5 pts + assists | Leads Golden State in assists per game and may need to create heavily with Thornton out. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Atlanta is fourth in the league in offensive rating. Golden State is 10th out of 13 teams.
- Golden State is fifth in defensive rating. Atlanta ranks sixth in the WNBA.
- Both teams are in the bottom four in the league in pace. That is great news for the under.
Valkyries vs Dream Model Projection
Score Projection: Golden State 76 – Atlanta 87
Win Probability: Golden State 22%, Atlanta 78%
Final Thoughts
The Dream have been great at home this season and are coming off of arguably their best win of the season. I’ll take Atlanta to get the victory in this game over a Valkyries team that has struggled to put many positive performances together away from Chase Center. This game isn’t going to be as lopsided as Golden State’s loss to Connecticut over the weekend. But I will lay the points with the Dream nonetheless.
