The Seattle Storm will host the Dallas Wings on Tuesday night in the Pacific Northwest. Both teams are making their return to the court after the All-Star break in this matchup. Here, I will break this game down from all angles and make my Storm vs Wings prediction for this game with huge playoff implications in the W.
Our Wings vs Storm Pick
- Pick: Dallas Wings +9
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Dallas Wings @ Seattle Storm
- Date & Time: July 22, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: ESPN3
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Storm –9 | Storm -425, Wings +330 | 165.5 |
Key Storylines
- These teams are in very different spots in the WNBA standings this year. The Storm are in fourth place and hoping to improve their playoff seeding. Dallas has the second-worst record in the WNBA.
- The Wings are hoping to have Maddy Siegrist and DiJonai Carrington back from injury for this game or in the near future.
- Rookie guard Paige Bueckers just played in her first All-Star Game and it will be interesting to see how she plays after some much-needed time off.
- I am curious to see how the Wings play in the second half of the season as they looked checked out under first-year coach Chris Koclanes in the first half of the year.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Seattle is 12-11 against the spread this year. Dallas is 10-13 against the spread.
- Seattle is 12-11 to the over for the season. Dallas is 13-10 to the over in 2025.
- The Storm are 2-0 straight up against the Wings this year. Both of those games were decided by single-digits.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins | Over 5.5 assists | Seattle’s lead guard averages 5.8 APG. After an All-Star Game triple-double, I expect Diggins to distribute well here. |
| Gabby Williams | Over 5.5 rebounds | Williams is one of the better rebounding guards in the league. She should take advantage of Dallas’ lack of useful size. |
| Arike Ogunbowale | Over 14.5 points | Ogunbowale was not an All-Star this year. I expect her to shoot better after the break. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offensive efficiency: Seattle is seventh in the WNBA in offensive rating. Dallas ranks eighth.
- Defensive efficiency: The Wings are 11th in the league in defensive rating. Seattle is fifth in that category.
- Pace: The Wings are fifth in the league in pace. Seattle is ninth in pace.
Seattle Storm vs Dallas Wings Model Projection
Score Projection: Seattle 83 – Dallas 77
Win Probability: Seattle 81%, Dallas 19%
Final Thoughts
I don’t see a world in which the Storm lose this game to a Wings team that is 2-10 on the road for the season. But the Storm have not blown the Wings out in their two previous meetings this year. I am going to take the points with Dallas, though I could regret it if the Wings have checked out on Koclanes.
