The Dallas Wings will make their first trip to Brooklyn this season when they face the New York Liberty on Tuesday night. New York snapped a four-game losing streak with a win in their last game. They will look to avenge their loss to Dallas in Arlington earlier in the season with a win here. Before the opening tip in this inter-conference matchup, continue reading to get my Wings vs Liberty prediction.
Our Wings vs Liberty Pick
- Pick: New York Liberty -9.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Dallas Wings @ New York Liberty
- Date & Time: August 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
- Broadcast: NBA TV
Wings vs Liberty Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| NYL –9.5 | NYL –455 / Wings +350 | 173.5 |
Key Storylines
- New York enters at 18‑10 overall and 12‑3 at home. They got a road win over the Connecticut Sun on Sunday behind a 36-point game from Sabrina Ionescu.
- The Wings have struggled with an 8‑21 record and are just 3‑11 on the road. They traded away DiJonai Carrington and might not be done selling before this week’s deadline.
- Emma Meesseman made her Liberty debut in Sunday’s win over Connecticut. Meesseman scored 11 points on 3/7 shooting for New York in her first game with the team.
- New York will be missing Breanna Stewart due to a leg injury. Maddie Siegrist is likely to be on a minutes restriction for Dallas. Arike Ogunbowale and Myisha Hines-Allen are both listed as day-to-day for Dallas.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- In their first meeting this season on July 28, New York lost 92‑82 in Dallas.
- The Liberty are 11-15-2 against the spread this season. Dallas is 13-16 against the spread this year.
- The Liberty have gone 12-3 at home this season. Dallas is 3-11 on the road.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu | Over 23.5 points | Ionescu is coming off a 36‑point outing against the Sun. She will see high usage without Stewart. |
| Paige Bueckers | Over 18.5 points | Bueckers is Dallas’s go‑to scorer and is likely to be relied on heavily in this game. |
| Natasha Cloud | Over 5.5 assists | Cloud averages 5.8 assists per game and is the Liberty’s lead distributor. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- New York ranks near the top of the league in offensive efficiency. They are third in the league in offensive rating.
- Dallas is eighth in the league in offensive rating.
- New York allows 5.5 points per game less than Dallas does in 2025.
- Both teams rank in the top five in the WNBA in pace. New York is first in that category and the Wings are fifth.
Wings vs Liberty Model Projection
Score Projection: New York Liberty 92 – Dallas Wings 79
Win Probability: New York Liberty 80%, Dallas Wings 20%
Final Thoughts
The New York Liberty should win comfortably and cover the spread as a home favorite. Even without Breanna Stewart, I think their depth and offensive efficiency will give them a clear advantage. Expect New York to even the season series between these teams at a game apiece in Brooklyn on Tuesday night.
