The Western Conference picture in 2025 already shows clear separation, and Wednesday night’s Wings vs Lynx gives bettors a fresh opportunity to ride the hottest side in the league or hunt value with an underdog still searching for its first victory. Minnesota has opened 2-0 behind Napheesa Collier’s blistering start and a flowing Courtney Williams-led offense, while the Wings arrive at Target Center 0-2, averaging just 77.5 points and coming off a second-half fade against Seattle.
This is a rematch of Friday’s opener, where Collier lit up Dallas for 34 and the Lynx sprinted away 99-84. With the clubs now shifting to Minneapolis, the betting market has moved decisively in Minnesota’s favor, with the spread moving into double-digits, inviting a careful inspection of pace, recent form, and situational angles before Wednesday’s tip.
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Wings vs Lynx Game Preview
The second leg of this season series tips at 8:00 p.m. ET inside Target Center. Minnesota rides a two-game streak that includes Sunday’s 89-75 road triumph over Los Angeles, powered by 23 points from Collier and crisp ball movement that produced 27 assists on 32 made field goals. Over their first two games, the Lynx have averaged 94.0 points while hitting 50.4 percent from the floor—best in the league—and limiting opponents to 79.5, good for a +14.5 differential.
Dallas, meanwhile, squandered a fourth-quarter comeback bid Monday and fell 79-71 to Seattle. Shooting woes have defined the Wings’ opening week: they are connecting on just 41 percent overall and a meager 21 percent from beyond the arc. Rookie point guard Paige Bueckers has been a bright spot (14.5 PPG, 5.0 APG), but veteran scorer Arike Ogunbowale is stuck at 23 percent from the field and 1-of-11 from deep. Head coach Chris Koclanes needs faster decision-making in the half-court and cleaner defensive rotations after conceding 89.0 per night through two games.
Key contributors to watch:
- Wings – Paige Bueckers: 14.5 PPG, 5.0 APG; Myisha Hines-Allen: 7.5 RPG; Ogunbowale: 12.0 PPG but 23.1 FG %.
- Lynx – Napheesa Collier: 28.5 PPG on 56 % shooting; Courtney Williams: 19.0 PPG, 9.5 APG; Jessica Shepard: 9.0 RPG.
Injuries are minimal. Dallas lists no absences, while Minnesota has Kayla McBride questionable for personal reasons—but her potential return would only add shooting to an offense already humming at 1.19 points per possession.
Betting Insights
- Spread: Lynx -11 (-105) / Wings +11 (-115)
- Moneyline: Lynx -600; Wings +440
- Total: 168.5 (Over -110 / Under -110)
Market movement opened Minnesota around -8 and quickly climbed into double-digits, reflecting both the previous 15-point margin and stark efficiency splits. The total has held steady since release despite Minnesota’s explosive numbers—an early indication bettors fear the Wings’ offense on the road. Pace is middling (Dallas 78.5 possessions per game, Minnesota 79.0), but the Lynx rank first in effective field-goal rate; Dallas sits 10th. Crucially, Minnesota’s assist-turnover ratio is an elite 2.6, while Dallas is giving the ball away 14.0 times per contest, a mismatch that feeds directly into run-outs and easy Lynx points.
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Wings vs Lynx Prediction
The Wings will adjust defensive coverages after Collier’s 34-point barrage, likely sending extra help early and daring Minnesota’s supporting shooters. But that plan risks opening the lane for Williams’ probing drives and foul-line jumpers, and the Lynx have already punished doubles with swift ball reversal that produced 27 threes through two games. Dallas can keep it competitive if Ogunbowale heats up—her career track record suggests a bounce-back is imminent—and if Bueckers dictates tempo to limit Minnesota’s transition chances.
Ultimately, Minnesota’s balance, superior ball security, and the home crowd edge should again prove decisive. Given the spread remains under double digits, the Lynx are still the preferred side. Until Dallas finds spacing and outside shooting, they remain a fade against top-tier opponents.
- Side: Lynx -11
- Total: Lean Under 168.5, anticipating Dallas struggles to crack 80 while Minnesota lands in the low 90s.
Projected final score: Minnesota 94, Dallas 78. A third straight Lynx win covers the spread and nudges this budding rivalry closer to one-sided status until the Wings’ perimeter scorers rediscover their range.
