Friday’s showdown in Paradise, NV pits the struggling Dallas Wings against the Las Vegas Aces. Dallas is limping into this matchup at 1–10, having lost six straight games. Las Vegas sits at 4–4 and looks to snap a two-game skid of their own. Here, I give you my Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces prediction, as both teams search for a much-needed victory.
Our Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces Pick
Spread: Aces –8
Total: Under 170
Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Dallas Wings @ Las Vegas Aces
- Date & Time: Friday, June 13, 2025 at 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, NV
- Broadcast: ION
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wings | +8 (–110) | +280 | Over 170 (–110) |
| Aces | –8 (–110) | –355 | Under 170 (–110) |
Key Storylines
- Dallas in free fall: The Wings have lost 10 of 11, struggling with defense (88.5 PPG) and inconsistency on the road.
- Las Vegas looking to rebound: The Aces have dropped two straight after a win on June 3, but boast a strong home presence (2–1).
- Injury watch: Dallas should have Paige Bueckers back from concussion protocol. Las Vegas continues on without Megan Gustafson and Cheyenne Parker‑Tyus, thinning their frontcourt depth.
- Star focus: Aces’ A’ja Wilson leads them with 20.9 PPG, 9.6 RPG, 4.0 APG. Dallas counters with Paige Bueckers (17.6 PPG, 6.3 APG) and Arike Ogunbowale (15.7 PPG).
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- This is the first of four games between these teams to be played in 2025.
- The Aces are 4-4 straight up and 3-5 against the spread so far this season.
- Dallas is 3-8 against the spread and 1-10 straight up during the 2025 season.
- Over/under trends: Vegas is 5-3 to the over on the year, Dallas is 6-5 to the under in 2025.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offense/Defense: Both of these teams are in the bottom-half of the league in defensive rating, and are in the middle of the pack in offensive rating.
- Pace: Both teams are in the top-four in the WNBA in pace this season, so we should see plenty of possessions.
- Mismatch: A’ja Wilson dominates in the paint, while Dallas lacks size outside of Teaira McCowan.
Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces Model Prediction
Our simulation for today’s WNBA betting picks projects:
- Score Projection: Dallas 68 – Las Vegas 85
- Win Probability: Dallas 20%, Las Vegas 80%
Final Thoughts
The Wings are in a deep funk, lacking firepower and defense. The Aces haven’t been great either, but this appears to be the ideal spot for them to get back on track. I expect a comfortable Aces win that stays under the total. Take Aces ‑8 and Under 170 with solid confidence.
