The Dallas Wings will visit the Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center in San Francisco on Friday night. The Valkyries are in the playoff hunt in their first season as a franchise in the WNBA. They will look to take advantage of a golden opportunity against a Wings team that has struggled throughout the 2025 season. Here, I break down this Western Conference contest and bring you my Wings vs Valkyries prediction in the betting markets.
Our Wings vs Valkyries Pick
- Pick: Golden State Valkyries -4.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Dallas Wings @ Golden State Valkyries
- Date & Time: July 25, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
- Broadcast: ION
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| GSV -4.5 | DAL +190, GSV -230 | 163.5 |
Key Storylines
- Injuries have hampered Dallas’ progress under first-year coach Chris Koclanes. Forwards Myisha Hines‑Allen and Maddy Siegrist missed their last game and their status is in doubt here as well. Guard Ty Harris is out for the season.
- Golden State remains fully healthy going into this game. They have made up for their lack of star power with depth and consistency throughout their rotation.
- The Valkyries are a half-game back of the eighth spot in the WNBA standings. The fact that they have a chance to make the playoffs so soon is impressive. But they will be looking to finish strong and actually get there starting with this game.
- Golden State has lost three games in a row coming into this contest. But all three of those losses came against playoff-caliber competition and they will look to take advantage of this game against a team outside of the top eight.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- The two teams met for the first time ever in mid‑June. Dallas took that game 80‑71 at home.
- Dallas is 3‑10 away on the road this season.
- Golden State is a solid 7‑4 at home at Chase Center.
- The Valkyries are 13-9 against the spread for the season.
- Dallas is 11-13 against the spread in 2025.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Golden State ranks fourth in defensive rating and the Wings are 10th in that category.
- Dallas is seventh in the league in offensive rating. Golden State is 10th in that department.
- Dallas plays a faster pace. They are fourth in the league in pace and Golden State is 12th out of 13 WNBA teams.
Wings vs Valkyries Model Projection
Score Projection: Dallas Wings 78 – Golden State Valkyries 84
Win Probability: Dallas Wings 48%, Golden State Valkyries 52%
Final Thoughts
The Valkyries have struggled of late. But I blame that more on their recent strength of schedule than any problems with the Valkyries themselves. I expect the Valkyries to bounce back at home in this contest against the worst team they have played in a while. I will lay the points with Golden State, who should move to within a game of the .500 mark with this victory.
