The Dallas Wings hit the road to face off against the Chicago Sky on Wednesday, July 9. This is the second day in a row that the Sky will be playing after they beat the Mystics on Tuesday. Chicago swept a two-game series against the Wings earlier this season. Will they move to 3-0 against the Wings or will Dallas get revenge in this matchup? Continue reading to get my Wings vs Sky prediction for Wednesday.
Our Wings vs Sky Pick
- Pick: Chicago Sky -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Dallas Wings @ Chicago Sky
- Date & Time: July 9, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky –1.5 | Sky –122, Wings +112 | 165 |
Key Storylines
- Dallas enters with key absences. Arike Ogunbowale and DiJonai Carrington missed out against the Mercury and are questionable here. Maddy Siegrist and Ty Harris are out.
- The Wings are fueled by rookies right now. Paige Bueckers, Aziaha James, and JJ Quinerly continue to contribute as Dallas adjusts post-injury.
- Chicago is on back-to-back games and they are traveling from Washington, D.C. to Chicago for this game. They could be in a worse travel situation than the Wings despite being the home team.
- Angel Reese continues to be great at giving the Sky extra chances to succeed by dominating the glass on both ends of the floor.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Chicago won both previous encounters with the Wings this season.
- Dallas is 2-8 on the road this season. Chicago is 2-4 on their home floor.
- The Sky are 10-8 against the spread for the year. The Wings are 9-11 against the spread.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | Over 18.5 PTS | Rookie is averaging 18.2 PPG. Her usage should be sky-high if Ogunbowale is out. |
| Paige Bueckers | Over 5.5 AST | Bueckers should be able to drive and distribute against the weak defensive guards of the Sky. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Dallas is 7th in the league in offensive rating. The Sky are 12th, ahead of only the Connecticut Sun.
- The Wings are 10th in defensive rating and the Sky are 12th.
- Potential Mismatch: Angel Reese rebounding the ball against a Wings frontcourt that doesn’t have a ton of size or depth.
- Key matchup: Bueckers’ tempo-setting vs. Sky backcourt. Can Paige prey on weak defensive guards of Chicago?
Wings vs Sky Model Projection
Score Projection: Dallas 78 – Chicago 81
Win Probability: Dallas 45%, Chicago 55%
Final Thoughts
I don’t love this spot for either team. The Wings have been one of the worst road teams in the league but the Sky are on a back-to-back. I don’t feel particularly strongly about this game in the betting markets. But if I had to bet this game (thankfully, I do not), I would go with Chicago to finish off their back-to-back with a win.
