The Atlanta Dream will host the Dallas Wings at Gateway Center Arena in College Park on Friday night. The Dream enter this game with the best record in the Eastern Conference and as the third seed in the WNBA standings. Dallas is eliminated from playoff contention but will look to pull an upset in this game while playing for pride. Here, I break down this matchup in the WNBA and give you my Wings vs Dream prediction for Friday’s game.
Our Wings vs Dream Pick
- Pick: Atlanta Dream –14.5
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Dallas Wings @ Atlanta Dream
- Date & Time: Friday, August 29, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Gateway Center Arena, College Park, GA
- Broadcast: ION
Wings vs Dream Odds
| Odds | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | –14.5 | –1200 | Over 164 |
| Dallas Wings | +14.5 | +750 | Under 164 |
Key Storylines
The Dream enter this game having lost their last contest against the streaking Las Vegas Aces at home. That was Vegas’ 12th straight win and you can’t fault Atlanta for losing to the hottest team in the league right now. Atlanta will try to bounce back at home against a Dallas team that has lost six games in a row going into Friday night.
Dallas has been ravaged by injuries and illnesses heading into this contest. Arike Ogunbowale is dealing with a knee injury and Paige Bueckers missed Dallas’ last game due to illness. Bueckers will be expected to return for this game but role players like Li Yueru, Luisa Geiselsoder, and Aziaha James are all expected to be out here as well.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- The Dream have claimed two of three head-to-head meetings against Dallas this season.
- The home team is 2-1 in the games between these teams this year. Atlanta is 1-0 at home against Dallas in 2025.
- Atlanta is 12-6 at home this season. Dallas is 4-14 on the road.
- The Dream are 22-15-1 against the spread this year.
- Dallas is 18-21 against the spread this season.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
Atlanta ranks fourth in the league in offensive rating and second in defensive rating. The Dream play with the second-slowest pace in the WNBA. Only the Golden State Valkyries play at a slower tempo this season. Dallas ranks third in the WNBA in pace and will try to speed up the Dream and get them out of their comfort zone. But the lack of healthy players for the Wings could prevent them from achieving the tempo they like to play with.
Wings vs Dream Model Projection
- Score Projection: Atlanta Dream 90 – Dallas Wings 75
- Win Probability: Atlanta Dream 85%, Dallas Wings 15%
Final Thoughts
The Dallas Wings have too much adversity to overcome in this game. They are dealing with a ton of injuries and have been dreadful on the road even when healthy. Atlanta should win this game and cover the spread with relative ease. Expect the Dream to get a big win for their chances of finishing second in the standings heading into the playoffs.
