The 2025 WNBA season is only a week old, yet things already feel urgent for the Dallas Wings and Atlanta Dream, who collide Saturday afternoon at Gateway Center Arena in College Park. Dallas seeks its first win after an 0-3 opening stretch that has exposed a youthful roster’s growing pains. Atlanta, sitting at 1-2, aims to shake off Thursday’s home loss and keep pace in a deep Eastern Conference. With betting markets installing the Dream as solid favorites, this Dream vs Wings contest is incredibly important to both sides.
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Wings vs Dream Preview
Dallas arrived in Georgia still smarting from an 85-81 setback in Minneapolis that completed a season-opening sweep by the Lynx. First-overall draft pick Paige Bueckers continued her seamless transition to the pros with 12 points and 10 assists, but the Wings again surrendered more than 80 points, pushing their defensive average to 87.7 points allowed per game. Dallas ranks 11th out of 13 teams in net rating (-9.8) and 9th in three-point accuracy (31.8%), trends that must shift if head coach Chris Koclanes expects his squad to contend.
Still, there are bright spots. All-Star guard Arike Ogunbowale leads the team with 15.0 points per game despite an icy start from long range, and Bueckers is already top-five league-wide in assists at 6.7. Forward Myisha Hines-Allen, acquired in an offseason trade, is pulling down 7.3 boards nightly, giving Dallas a front-court presence in an attempt to replace the losses of Natasha Howard, Satou Sabally, and Kalani Brown. But better rebounding will be needed against all of the frontcourt play the Dream bring to this matchup.
The Dream, meanwhile, looked sharp in their two-game road trip to open the season, splitting tight affairs with the Mystics and Fever, before falling 81-76 in Thursday’s rematch with Indiana. Rhyne Howard poured in 24 in that defeat and paces Atlanta at 18.3 points a night. Fellow wing Allisha Gray is right behind at 17.3 while dishing five assists per game, and Brionna Jones has been a force on the glass, averaging 11.3 rebounds, which ranks fourth in the league in that category. Brittney Griner’s interior scoring (14.7 ppg on 49% shooting) gives head coach Karl Smesko a balanced attack that can punish Dallas inside if the Wings’ help defense is late.
Both clubs enter relatively healthy. Atlanta will be without backup guard Jordin Canada (knee), while Dallas lists no players on the injury report. Rest could play a role in this contest. The Dream are playing their third game in five days, while the Wings enjoyed Friday off but travel for the fourth straight day.
Betting Insights
- Point Spread: Atlanta -5.5, Dallas +5.5
- Moneyline: Dream -250, Wings +205
- Total Points: 168.5
- Trends to know:
- Dallas is 1-2 against the spread this season.
- Atlanta is 1-2 ATS but failed to cover in its lone home contest.
- Dating back to 2024, Atlanta has taken five of the last six meetings straight up.
Oddsmakers opened the total nearly 10 points higher than the clubs’ combined scoring averages (Dallas 78.7, Atlanta 85.7). That suggests confidence in the game featuring plenty of pace, but both teams shoot under 42 percent and combine for 35 three-point attempts, middle of the pack. Unless one backcourt finds its rhythm, the number looks inflated.
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Wings vs Dream Prediction
Atlanta’s balanced scoring, home-court edge, and rebounding advantage give the Dream the inside track in this game. Jones versus Hines-Allen is a huge matchup: if Jones controls the paint, Howard and Gray will feast on kick-outs against a Wings defense that has struggled to close out. Dallas must generate transition points and a friendly whistle for Ogunbowale, otherwise, their half-court offense can bog down.
Expect the Wings to show improved effort after consecutive defeats, but their defensive rotations remain late, and a rookie point guard on the road often spells turnovers. The Dream’s veterans should capitalize, especially with fresh legs up front and a partisan crowd behind them.
The pick: Atlanta Dream -5.5. Lean to the under 168.5, projecting a final in the 84-77 range.
