The Connecticut Sun will visit the Washington Mystics on Tuesday night. The Sun have been the worst team in the WNBA this year and the Mystics will be looking to help their playoff hopes with a win against them at home. Before Connecticut and Washington do battle in the WNBA, continue reading to get my Sun vs Mystics prediction.
Our Sun vs Mystics Pick
- Pick: Washington Mystics -6
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Connecticut Sun @ Washington Mystics
- Date & Time: August 19, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: CareFirst Arena, Washington, D.C.
- Broadcast: NBCS-BOS and MNMT
Sun vs Mystics Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Mystics –6 | Mystics -258 / Sun +210 | 158 |
Key Storylines
The Mystics are 16-18 and have won two straight games going into this contest. Washington is a half-game out of the final playoff spot in the WNBA despite being trade deadline sellers. A win here could put them into the top eight by the end of the night depending on how other games go around the league.
The Sun enter this game off a loss in overtime to the Indiana Fever. Marina Mabrey dropped 27 points and Tina Charles added 21 in a losing effort. Connecticut is 1-15 on the road this season and they are underdogs away from Mohegan Sun Arena once again in this contest.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Washington is 2-0 against the Sun so far this season.
- The Mystics won their lone home game against the Sun this year by 37 points.
- Washington is 17-17 against the spread this season.
- Connecticut is 17-16 against the spread on the year.
- Connecticut has lost 13 straight road games.
- Washington is 10-7 at home for the season.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Sonia Citron | Over 16.5 points | Citron has averaged 22.5 points per game over her last two games. |
| Kiki Iriafen | Over 9.5 rebounds | Iriafen had 14 boards against the Sun earlier this season and could pile up the boards again in this matchup. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Both of these teams rank in the bottom half of the league in offensive rating, defensive rating, and net rating.
- Both teams are in the bottom half of the WNBA in pace this season.
Sun vs Mystics Model Projection
Score Projection: Washington 88 – Connecticut 76
Win Probability: Mystics 70%, Sun 30%
Final Thoughts
I will continue to give the Mystics credit for being as tough as they have been of late. Their front office made it clear that their priority was not making the playoffs right now. But they have managed to stay competitive in the race for the top eight.
In this game, I think the Mystics will continue to keep the pressure on the teams above them in the standings. Washington should be able to win this game and cover the spread over a hapless Sun team. If the Storm lose to the Sky on Tuesday night, those two results could put Washington into a playoff position.
