The Connecticut Sun and Dallas Wings will face off on Wednesday night at College Park Center in Arlington. Both teams are tied for the fewest wins in the WNBA this season and are playing for pride late in the regular season. Before these struggling squads take the floor on Wednesday night, keep reading to get my breakdown of this game and my Sun vs Wings prediction.
Our Sun vs Wings Pick
- Pick: Connecticut Sun -3.5
- Confidence: ★★☆☆☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Connecticut Sun @ Dallas Wings
- Date & Time: Wednesday, August 27, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: College Park Center, Arlington, TX
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
Sun vs Wings Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | -3.5 | -155 | Over 162.5 |
| Dallas Wings | +3.5 | +130 | Under 162.5 |
Key Storylines
- Injuries: Dallas Wings’ star guard Arike Ogunbowale is out due to knee tendinitis. Rookie of the Year frontrunner Paige Bueckers is also questionable for this game due to an illness. Connecticut is largely healthy and will look to take advantage of the adversity surrounding the Dallas roster here.
- Recent Form: The Sun have shown improvement recently. They have won three of their last four games and the Wings are looking to end a five-game losing streak.
- Playoff Implications: Both teams are out of playoff contention. They are simply playing for pride and/or draft positioning at this point and it will be interesting to see how both teams approach the end of the regular season.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Past Meetings: The Wings have won both previous encounters this season. Both of those wins came in Connecticut and this is the first matchup between these teams in Arlington for the season.
- Against the Spread (ATS): Connecticut is 21-16 against the spread this season. Dallas is 18-20 against the spread for the year.
- Over/Under (O/U): Connecticut is 17-19-1 on over/unders in 2025. Dallas is 20-18 to the over for the season.
- Home/Road Splits: The Sun have a 3-16 record on the road and the Wings are 5-15 at home.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offensive/Defensive Metrics: The Sun rank 13th out of 13 teams in offensive rating and they are 10th in defensive rating. Dallas is 10th in the WNBA in offensive rating and 11th in defensive rating.
- Pace of Play: Dallas ranks fourth in the league in pace and the Sun are ninth in tempo for the year.
Sun vs Wings Model Projection
- Score Projection: Connecticut Sun 85 – Dallas Wings 80
- Win Probability: Connecticut Sun 63%, Dallas Wings 37%
Final Thoughts
Both teams have had disappointing seasons. But I think the Sun are in a better position to win tonight. Connecticut is playing better basketball of late and the Wings are potentially going to be without their two top stars. Bueckers is either going to miss this game or be ill while playing. I’ll take the Sun to win and cover the spread on the road here.
