The WNBA weekend concludes on Sunday with a four-game schedule that includes an early-afternoon contest that offers plenty for bettors to digest. The Connecticut Sun, still hunting for its first victory of the campaign, travels to Gateway Center Arena to face an Atlanta Dream squad that evened its record by beating Dallas on Saturday. With the hosts laying short moneyline odds and the visitors desperate to stop a four-game skid, this Sun vs Dream game should provide a clear read on two rosters moving in opposite directions.
Sun vs Dream Preview
Atlanta’s fast start has hinged on its upgraded backcourt. Rhyne Howard is averaging 16 points per outing, while Allisha Gray chips in 19.8 points and a team-best 5.3 assists. The Dream also own the glass thanks to Brionna Jones, whose 12.3 rebounds anchor an interior that added veteran Brittney Griner for additional size and rim protection. Through four contests the Dream average 85.7 points yet still concede 88.3, a reminder that their preferred tempo invites shoot-outs.
Connecticut is still looking for chemistry after an off-season overhaul. Tina Charles paces the offense at 15.7 points on 47% shooting and Olivia Nelson-Ododa supplies 7.0 boards, but the Sun are stuck on 72.3 points per game and rank 11th in the league in three-point accuracy at 26.2%. Marina Mabrey’s cold start — 29% from the field — has left Bria Hartley to handle much of the initiation, and turnovers have piled up at 16.3 per game.
The schedule has been unforgiving for the visitors. Opening losses to Las Vegas, Washington, and Minnesota were all decided in the fourth quarter, yet their cumulative -36 point differential underscores how quickly scorelines widened once shots stopped falling. By contrast, Atlanta’s two defeats came by a combined nine points, and the Dream’s victory over Dallas on Saturday highlighted both depth and late-game composure as Gray poured in 27 and Griner and Jones combined for 26 points from the starting frontcourt.
Key individual numbers to track before tip:
- Brionna Jones: double-double in all of Atlanta’s four games, 15.3 points and 12.3 rebounds
- Tina Charles: 15.7 points and 6.7 rebounds but did not get to the free-throw line on Friday night, indicating limited paint touches
- Saniya Rivers: 11.0 points plus 2.5 steals, providing desperately needed defensive bite for Connecticut
Betting Insights
Books opened Atlanta as a firm favorite. The Dream are favored by 7.5 points going into this matchup, while the total for the game has been set at 159.5 points. Atlanta is 2-2 against the number so far, with a 1-1 record straight up and ATS at home, while Connecticut sits 0-3 and has failed to cover by an average of 8.6 points.
Total bettors should weigh pace against efficiency. The Dream pushes roughly 81 possessions per game, the highest in the league. The Sun sits at a far slower 74 possessions and just 148 combined points, though much of that stems from dismal perimeter shooting. If Connecticut regresses toward league-average accuracy, a closing number in the high 160s would be justified.
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Sun vs Dream Prediction
Buyers of Atlanta stock have one clear edge: a dynamic guard group creating clean looks from deep and a rebounding cushion that fuels transition chances. Connecticut counters with interior experience but lacks the spacing to trade baskets for forty minutes, and the absence of a reliable secondary scorer behind Charles has forced awkward mid-range attempts late in the shot clock. Unless Mabrey erupts from beyond the arc, the visitors face another uphill climb.
Expect the Dream to dictate tempo early, leaning on Howard curl actions and Gray drives to set up corner shooters. Jones should control the defensive glass and instantly ignite run-outs, putting pressure on a Sun defense still adjusting to new rotations. Connecticut will hang around through paint touches for Charles and the hustle of Rivers, yet Atlanta’s deeper bench should offset the fact that Atlanta is playing for the second day in a row.
Best Bet: Atlanta Dream –7.5
Final score projection: Dream 88, Sun 76.
