The New York Liberty will host the Chicago Sky on Thursday night at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. New York is in a fight for seeding ahead of the WNBA playoffs and the Sky are closing in on elimination from postseason contention. Before this Eastern Conference matchup tips off, continue reading to get my Sky vs Liberty prediction for Thursday’s game.
Our Sky vs Liberty Pick
- Pick: New York Liberty –13
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Chicago Sky @ New York Liberty
- Date & Time: August 21, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
- Broadcast: Prime Video
Sky vs Liberty Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| NYL –13 | NYL –900, CHI +600 | 165 |
Key Storylines
- New York sits in second place at 22-13. They defeated the Minnesota Lynx 85-75 on Tuesday. New York needs to keep winning to have a chance of remaining in the second spot in the standings.
- Chicago enters this game at 8-26 and they have lost eight of their last nine games. Their most recent loss came against the Seattle Storm on Tuesday despite a fourth-quarter comeback attempt from Chicago.
- Angel Reese has returned to the floor for the Sky after an extended injury absence. Reese had 19 points and seven rebounds against Seattle. She will hope to match up well against Jonquel Jones and the rest of New York’s frontcourt.
- The Sky could be officially eliminated from playoff contention with another loss going into the weekend.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- The Liberty are 2-0 against the Sky so far this season.
- New York has won both of the games between these teams by double-digits this season.
- The Sky are one of the worst road teams in the WNBA at 3-13 this season.
- The Liberty are 14-4 at home in 2025.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu | Over 18.5 Points | Ionescu averages 19.1 points per game for the season and should have a big game against a bad Sky team. |
| Jonquel Jones | Over 8.5 rebounds | Jones will have to contend with Angel Reese for rebounds but she should hold her own just fine. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- The Liberty are third in the league in offensive rating and fifth in defensive rating.
- Chicago is 12th out of 13 teams in offensive rating and dead last in defensive rating.
- Keep an eye on the pace matchup in this game. The Liberty play at the fastest pace in the WNBA. Chicago plays with the third-slowest pace in the W.
Sky vs Liberty Model Projection
Score Projection: Liberty 92 – Sky 75
Win Probability: Liberty 90%, Sky 10%
Final Thoughts
The Liberty are still without Breanna Stewart for this game as she deals with an injury. But they shouldn’t need Stewart to win big against the Sky. New York has won their two games against the Sky by an average of 22 points apiece and they should win big here as well. I’ll lay the points with the Liberty in Brooklyn.
