The Chicago Sky head to Atlanta on Friday, June 13, 2025 to face the Atlanta Dream in a game between teams that have had very different seasons so far. Without their veteran floor general Courtney Vandersloot, the Sky will rely on Ariel Atkins and their frontcourt to challenge a Dream team hitting its stride on its home court. Here, I will break down this matchup and give you my Chicago Sky vs Atlanta Dream prediction to kick off Friday night’s WNBA action.
Our Chicago Sky vs Atlanta Dream Pick
- Spread: Dream –12
- Total: Over 157.5
- Confidence: ★★★½
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Chicago Sky @ Atlanta Dream
- Date & Time: Friday, June 13, 2025, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Gateway Center Arena, College Park, GA
- Broadcast: ION
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | +12 (–110) | +500 | O/U 157.5 |
| Atlanta Dream | –12 (–110) | –700 |
Key Storylines
- The Sky are reeling from the loss of longtime point guard Courtney Vandersloot, who will miss the season with a torn ACL. She had been averaging 10.6 PPG and 5.3 APG , leading the team in assists per game.
- Angel Reese and Kamilla Cardoso have struggled to deliver consistent scoring, with Reese down to 10.1 PPG on 35.8% shooting.
- Atlanta comes in at 6‑3, one of the better starts in the league, buoyed by Allisha Gray (20.4 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 4.4 APG) and the interior duo of Brionna Jones and Brittney Griner.
- The Dream are healthy and enjoy plenty of depth, whereas Sky’s injury list leaves them in bad shape at the guard spots.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- This is the first of four regular-season meetings between these teams this season.
- Atlanta is 6-3 straight up and 6-3 against the spread this season.
- Chicago is 2-6 straight up and 3-5 against the spread in 2025.
- Atlanta is 4-4-1 on over/unders this year, while the Sky are 5-3 to the over.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | Over 17.5 points | She’s averaging 20.4 PPG and defensive inconsistencies from Chicago should allow her to hit this number |
| Ariel Atkins | Over 12.5 points | Atkins is the Sky’s top scorer at 13.4 PPG, and her team needs offensive output with guard instability due to injuries |
| Angel Reese | Under 11.5 rebounds | Reese leads the WNBA in rebounding at 12.1 rebounds per game, but the Dream frontcourt of Griner and Jones should limit her somewhat |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Atlanta is third in the WNBA in offensive ranking, while Chicago is 12th out of 13 teams.
- The Sky play the second-fastest pace in the W, Atlanta the third-slowest.
- Mismatches: Sky lack playmaking without Vandersloot, while Atlanta enjoys strong guard penetration from Gray and Howard
Chicago Sky vs Atlanta Dream Model Projection
Score Projection: Chicago 73 – Atlanta 88
Win Probability: Atlanta 84 %, Chicago 16 %
Final Thoughts
Atlanta holds clear advantages in offensive efficiency, health, and home‑court advantage, while the Sky are handicapped by the absence of their veteran guard and spotty perimeter support. That, combined with the speed of play and historical scoring trends, fuels a lean toward the Dream against the spread and the over.
