Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Prediction, Odds & Picks – June 17, 2025

The Atlanta Dream (7–3) head to Brooklyn to take on the New York Liberty (9–1) in a key Tuesday night showdown. Atlanta arrives riding momentum from a three-game winning streak, while the Liberty aim to maintain dominance on home court to bounce back from their first loss of the season. Continue reading for my Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty prediction before these teams do battle in Brooklyn.

Our Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Pick

• Spread: Liberty –7.5
• Total: Under 164
• Confidence: ★★★★
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4.5/5

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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Atlanta Dream @ New York Liberty
• Date & Time: Tuesday, June 17, 2025, 7:00 p.m. ET
• Venue: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
• Broadcast: WNBA League Pass

Key Storylines

• The Liberty suffered their first loss of the 2025 season in their last game, losing on the road against the Indiana Fever. They will look to bounce back here and avoid dropping a home game for the first time.
• Jonquel Jones of the Liberty is listed as day-to-day and is questionable for this contest due to injury. Her presence would be vital for the Liberty as they look to shut down the Atlanta frontcourt.
• This game has huge Commissioner’s Cup implications, as both teams are 3-1 in cup play so far, and a win would be huge for their chances of representing the Eastern Conference in the upcoming final.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

• This is the first of four regular-season meetings set for these teams this season.
• This is the first meeting between these teams since the Liberty swept the Dream 2-0 in the opening round of last season’s WNBA playoffs, though Atlanta’s roster has undergone significant changes since then.
• The Liberty are 6-4 against the spread this season, while Atlanta is an impressive 8-3 ATS.
• New York is 5-5 on over/unders this year, while Atlanta is 4-6-1, with the majority of their games staying under their respective totals.

Best Player Props to Watch

Advanced Metrics & Trends

• New York paces at the league’s fastest tempo, something books have accounted for when setting their totals.
• Atlanta ranks dead last in pace, but third in offensive rating, playing very efficiently under head coach Karl Smesko.
• The Liberty own the best net rating in the WNBA this season, with Atlanta ranking third in that department.
• Mismatches: Atlanta’s duo of Griner and Jones inside could present challenges for New York, especially if Jones is unable to play in this contest.

Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Model Prediction

Final Thoughts

This clash feels destined for a Liberty rebound after facing a defeat against the Fever over the weekend. Despite Atlanta’s improvements and confidence built upon their recent play, New York’s home court advantage, roster quality, and offensive firepower make them solid favorites. Bettors may want to wait to find out whether or not Jonquel Jones is going to return for New York before betting this game, but our projections if she does play point to a convincing win for New York.