The Atlanta Dream will visit the Las Vegas Aces on Tuesday night. Both teams are resuming their seasons after the All-Star break. These teams enter the second half of the year in playoff position and will look for a win to help their seeding prospects. Here, I break down this inter-conference matchup and bring you my Dream vs Aces prediction for Tuesday.
Our Dream vs Aces Pick
- Pick: Atlanta Dream Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Dream @ Las Vegas Aces
- Date & Time: July 22, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: ESPN
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Aces –1.5 | Aces –142 / Dream +120 | 163 |
Key Storylines
- Injury Concerns: Rhyne Howard is banged up for Atlanta. Jackie Young of the Aces had to cut her All-Star Game short due to injury. Health will be a huge factor for both sides here.
- Allisha Gray: Gray leads the Dream in scoring this season. She was an All-Star and will look to prove herself against a beat-up perimeter defense for the Aces.
- A’ja Wilson: The Aces star averages 22.3 PPG and the Aces are demanding a lot from her due to their lack of bench depth.
- Playoff Race: The Dream are fifth in the WNBA standings this season. Vegas starts the second half in the eighth and final WNBA playoff spot. Both teams are playing for playoff positioning.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
This is the first game of a three-game regular-season series between the Aces and Dream. They will also play on August 19 and August 27. The Dream are 12-10 against the spread for the year. The Aces are 8-14 against the spread. Vegas is tied with the LA Sparks for the fewest wins against the spread this season.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | Over 18.5 points | She’s averaging 18.4 PPG and will need to carry the offensive load with Howard ailing. |
| A’ja Wilson | Over 23.5 points | Wilson should be able to spread the floor to get good looks against Brionna Jones and Brittney Griner. |
| Brionna Jones | Over 7.5 rebounds | Jones leads Atlanta with 7.8 RPG. She doesn’t have a ton of competition on the glass from Las Vegas other than Wilson. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offense: Atlanta is fourth in the league in offensive rating. Vegas ranks ninth in that department.
- Defense: Atlanta is sixth in the league in defensive rating. Vegas is ninth in that category as well.
- Pace: The Dream are 12th in pace this year. Vegas plays at a faster pace but is only in the middle of the pack in tempo.
- Home/road splits: Las Vegas has gone 6-4 at home this season. Atlanta is a game below .500 on the road at 5-6.
Dream vs Aces Model Projection
Score Projection: Dream 84 – Aces 82
Win Probability: Atlanta 52%, Las Vegas 48%
Final Thoughts
I think we are in for a close game in Las Vegas on Tuesday night. The difference in this game will be scoring depth. Atlanta has the edge in that facet of the game. They have more players who are healthy and can hurt you with their scoring. For that reason, I will take the Dream as slight underdogs to win outright on the road here.
