The Atlanta Dream will visit the Las Vegas Aces on Tuesday night in a game with huge postseason implications on both sides. The Dream are aiming to move closer to locking up a top-two spot in the WNBA standings and the Aces have their sights set on the top four. They will play for the second time this season and will have to navigate those high stakes along with the players on the opposite side. Before tip-off from Vegas, continue reading to get my Dream vs Aces prediction.
Our Dream vs Aces Pick
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces –2.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Dream @ Las Vegas Aces
- Date & Time: August 19, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: NBA TV
Dream vs Aces Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Aces -2.5 | Aces -142 / Dream +124 | Over 164 |
Key Storylines
- These are two of the hottest teams in the WNBA. Atlanta has won eight of its last 10 games and has moved into second place in the league standings. Vegas has won nine of its last 10 and have moved up to fifth in the league.
- This game features one of the best big matchups in the W. Brittney Griner and Brionna Jones of the Dream will have to figure out a way to guard the faster A’ja Wilson of the Aces. But the physicality of Griner and Jones could work in their favor.
- These teams are mostly healthy going into this game. Jordin Canada is expected to miss this game for Atlanta and Cheyenne Parker-Tyus is out for Las Vegas.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Las Vegas beat Atlanta 87-72 at home in their one previous meeting of the season.
- Atlanta is 12-7 on the road this season.
- Las Vegas is 12-5 at home in 2025.
- The Dream are 19-14 against the spread this season.
- Las Vegas is 17-18 against the spread for the year.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| A’ja Wilson (Aces) | Over 24.5 Points | Wilson dropped 34 points in her last game and remains the focal point of the Aces’ offense. |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | Over 15.5 Points | Gray averages 18.6 PPG and is a consistent scoring option even on the road against tough defenses. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- The Dream rank second in the league in offensive rating and third in defensive rating.
- Las Vegas is sixth in the WNBA in offensive rating and ninth in defensive rating.
- Las Vegas ranks sixth in the league in pace. Atlanta is 12th out of 13 teams in pace and will try to slow this game down.
Dream vs Aces Model Projection
Score Projection: Atlanta 84 – Las Vegas 89
Win Probability: Atlanta 46%, Las Vegas 54%
Final Thoughts
The key matchup in this game is going to be on the interior. If Wilson can use her quickness to get to the basket or make shots from the mid-range, I could see the Aces rolling at home. But if Griner and Jones are able to dominate the glass, it could be Atlanta that gets the win. I think we see Wilson step up and carry the Aces to an eighth straight win, covering the spread in the process.
