The Atlanta Dream head into Game 2 of their first-round WNBA playoff series with the Indiana Fever looking to close things out. After an 80-68 win in Game 1 on their home floor, Atlanta holds a 1-0 lead in this best-of-three series, and Indiana will host Tuesday’s game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Here, I break down the second game of this series and give you my Dream vs Fever Game 2 prediction from Indy.
Our Dream vs Fever Game 2 Pick
- Pick: Atlanta Dream −4
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Dream @ Indiana Fever
- Date & Time: Tuesday, September 16, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
- Broadcast: ESPN
Dream vs Fever Game 2 Odds
Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
Dream | −4 | -170 | Over 159.5 |
Fever | +4 | +142 | Under 159.5 |
Key Storylines
- Indiana is fighting to avoid elimination after losing Game 1. They shot just 34.9% from the floor in that game and went 2/15 from three-point range. They also committed 15 turnovers. One bright spot was Kelsey Mitchell’s 27 points, but she will need help to get a win in this game.
- Atlanta entered Game 1 relatively healthy, while Indiana remains shorthanded. Caitlin Clark, Sophie Cunningham, Aari McDonald, Sydney Colson, and Chloe Bibby are all out, plus Damiris Dantas was in concussion protocol.
- Atlanta’s leaders in Game 1 included Allisha Gray and Rhyne Howard, both scoring 20 points. Naz Hillmon also played a key role in the Dream’s win on Sunday. Depth has been a strength for the Dream, as evidenced by Brittney Griner coming off the bench.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Atlanta won Game 1 by 12 points. They hold a 3-2 lead in the season series with the Fever between the regular season and playoffs.
- Atlanta covered the spread in the first game of this series.
- The first game of the series went well under the total of 159.5 points with 148 total points scored.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offensive/Defensive Metrics: Atlanta ranked third in offensive rating and second in defensive rating among the playoff teams that played on Sunday.
- Pace of Play: The pace between these teams on Sunday was the third-slowest out of the four playoff games that took place over the weekend.
- Key Mismatches:
- The frontcourt depth of the Dream will put pressure on Aliyah Boston and Natasha Howard to avoid foul trouble for the Fever.
- Kelsey Mitchell will have to carry the scoring load against a deep Dream backcourt and that could be too much to ask here.
Dream vs Fever Game 2 Model Projection
Score Projection: Atlanta Dream 88 – Indiana Fever 77
Win Probability: Atlanta Dream ~68%, Indiana Fever ~32%
Final Thoughts
If the Fever were healthy, I think this series would be heading to a third game. But Indiana is missing too much production from the guard spots and that should derail their hopes of forcing a deciding Game 3. I’ll lay the points with the Dream, who are red-hot and should win their eighth straight game to get to the semifinal round.