The Atlanta Dream and Golden State Valkyries will close out the Sunday WNBA slate in San Francisco. Atlanta enters as the favorite on the road but the Valkyries have made Chase Center a house of horrors for visiting favorites at times this season. Before these playoff contenders face off in the Bay Area, continue reading to get my Dream vs Valkyries prediction.
Our Dream vs Valkyries Pick
- Pick: Atlanta Dream –5.5
- Confidence: 2/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Dream @ Golden State Valkyries
- Date & Time: August 17, 2025, 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
- Broadcast: NBA TV
Dream vs Valkyries Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Dream –5.5 | Dream –245, Valkyries +200 | 153.5 |
Key Storylines
- Both of these teams are in the top six in the WNBA standings. Both are looking to continue stacking up wins to secure a place in the playoffs and give themselves the best possible seeding for the postseason.
- The Valkyries are red-hot as they have won four straight games coming into this matchup on their home floor.
- Atlanta is 8-2 in its last 10 games and they had their recent winning streak snapped in Canada against the Seattle Storm on Friday night.
- This game features the top two choices for this year’s Coach of the Year award in the WNBA. Golden State’s Natalie Nakase and Atlanta’s Karl Smesko have both led their teams to exceed expectations and this game could help decide which of them wins the award.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- These teams have split their season series 1-1 so far. They played both of those games in Atlanta and the Valkyries got one of those matchups on the road.
- Atlanta is 11-7 on the road this season.
- Golden State is 10-5 on their home floor in 2025.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Cecilia Zandalasini | Over 13.5 points | Zandalasini is playing well and has seen her usage rate increase since Kayla Thornton was lost for the season. |
| Rhyne Howard | Under 15.5 points | Howard is just coming back from injury and her usage won’t be high enough to get to this total. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- The Dream rank second in the WNBA in offensive rating. Golden State is 10th in the league in that area.
- Both of these teams excel on defense. Golden State ranks third in defensive rating and Atlanta ranks fourth.
- These teams play the two slowest tempos in the WNBA and that should be great news for under bettors.
Dream vs Valkyries Model Projection
Score Projection: Atlanta Dream 83 – Golden State Valkyries 76
Win Probability: Atlanta Dream 65%, Golden State Valkyries 35%
Final Thoughts
I think we are in for a low-scoring game here thanks to the slow pace with which both of these teams plays basketball. As for the result of the game, I think the Dream will win and cover the spread on the road. Their bigs will be too much for the undersized Valkyries to deal with, while Rhyne Howard and Allisha Gray will make clutch plays late to help the Dream get the win.
