The Atlanta Dream travel to College Park Center in Arlington, Texas, to take on the struggling Dallas Wings on Tuesday, June 24, 2025, at 8:00 pm ET. Atlanta arrives in fine form, confident offensively and boasting top-tier talent, while Dallas are coping with mounting injuries and inconsistent play under coach Chris Koclanes. Can the Wings get a much-needed upset win at home here? Continue reading to get my Atlanta Dream vs Dallas Wings prediction.
Our Atlanta Dream vs Dallas Wings Pick
- Spread: Dream –8.5
- Total: Over 166.5
- Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Dream @ Dallas Wings
- Date & Time: Tuesday, June 24, 2025, 8:00 pm ET
- Venue: College Park Center, Arlington, TX
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
| Odds | Atlanta | Dallas |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | –8.5 | +8.5 |
| Moneyline | –410 | +320 |
| Total | 166.5 | |
Key Storylines
- Injury issues in Dallas: The Wings are shorthanded. Ty Harris is out for the season after knee surgery, Maddy Siegrist will miss 6–8 weeks with a tibial fracture, and both Luisa Geiselsöder and Teaira McCowan are absent due to overseas commitments. Meanwhile, DiJonai Carrington is listed as day-to-day on the Dallas injury report.
- Atlanta’s momentum: The Dream are 10–4, riding a two‑game winning streak, with strong contributions across the roster under new coach Karl Smesko.
- Star Guards: Allisha Gray and Rhyne Howard are combining for 37.4 PPG and providing consistent playmaking and offensive production.
- Dallas searching for chemistry: Paige Bueckers has shown flashes in her rookie year, but the Wings sit at 3–12 and need to get better on the defensive end of the floor to be more competitive.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Atlanta leads the season series 1-0 after beating the Wings 83-75 in Atlanta on May 24.
- Against the spread, Atlanta is 9-5 while Dallas sits at 6-9 ATS.
- The Dream are 7-6-1 to the over in their games this season.
- Dallas is 8-7 to the over through their first 15 games.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | Over 17.5 PTS | She’s averaging 20.1 PPG with efficient shooting and gets a favorable matchup here. |
| Brittney Griner | Over 5.5 REB | Griner is averaging 5.6 RPG and should take advantage of the lack of interior depth for the Wings with McCowan out. |
| Paige Bueckers | Over 5.5 AST | Dallas will rely heavily on her playmaking with limited depth. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offensive efficiency: Atlanta has taken over the top spot in the league in offensive rating, while Dallas is 7th in that category.
- Defensive concerns: The Dream rank 7th in the WNBA in defensive rating, while Dallas is 11th out of the league’s 13 teams.
- Tempo battle: The Wings are 4th in the league in pace and will try to speed up a Dream team that is 11th in pace.
- Mismatches inside: Atlanta’s Brionna Jones and Griner dominate the paint, and could take advantage of Dallas’ limited frontcourt.
Atlanta Dream vs Dallas Wings Model Projection
- Score Projection: Atlanta 92 – Dallas 82
- Win Probability: Atlanta 79%, Dallas 21%
Final Thoughts
This game features a red-hot Dream squad against a depleted Wings roster trying to keep things respectable. Atlanta’s offensive weapons and Dallas’ lack of depth, especially in the frontcourt, are key deciding factors. The Dream should win comfortably, and the pace of play combined with Dallas’ defensive lapses, makes the over a strong secondary pick.
