The Club World Cup semifinal between Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid is the final of this tournament in the eyes of many. The winner of this match will be the favorite to beat the winner of Fluminense vs Chelsea in the final later in the week. But first, these teams must face one another for the right to play in that championship match. Here, I break down this incredible semifinal and give you my PSG vs Real Madrid prediction.
Our PSG vs Real Madrid Pick
- Pick: Real Madrid to Advance (+100)
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
- Bonus Bets For the Match: Bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets using bet365 promo code ATSBONUS
PSG vs Real Madrid Match Preview
Two European giants meet in what feels like the final before the final. PSG defeated Bayern Munich in the quarterfinals to reach this stage, but it wasn’t as easy as the 2-0 scoreline would lead you to believe. PSG picked up two red cards in the second half of that match and had to finish the game with nine players. And while I thought a Bayern equalizer was coming against the shorthanded Parisians, PSG scored a second goal to put the game out of reach. PSG has allowed just one goal in this tournament but faced a ton of pressure from Bayern and will again here.
Real Madrid also had to overcome late adversity to reach the semifinals of the Club World Cup. They took a 2-0 lead against Dortmund in the first half of their quarterfinal match. But a late Dortmund goal put the pressure back on Los Blancos to see things out. Eventually they did, winning 3-2 to reach this point. Xabi Alonso was able to bring Kylian Mbappe, Rodrygo, and Luka Modric off the bench, which speaks to just how good his squad is right now.
Betting Insights
- Moneyline: PSG +130, Draw +260, Real Madrid +185
- Outright odds to win the tournament: PSG +140, Real Madrid +175
- Match total: Over 2.5 goals favored at -180, the under is +135
PSG vs Real Madrid Prediction
PSG are the reigning European champions and the favorite to win this tournament. But I am going to go the contrarian route here and take Real Madrid to advance at even money. PSG showed some cracks in their armor against Bayern that we haven’t seen from them in a while. And while I don’t expect PSG to end this match with nine men like they did in the quarterfinals, I do think Madrid will get the better of them by a one-goal margin.
Expect each side to find the net at least once, with a total of three to four goals likely. A final score of 2-1 in favor of either team is what I expect. I’ll go with Real Madrid to win it and to close out the Club World Cup with a win in the final as well.
PSG vs Real Madrid Model Projection
Score Projection: PSG 1 – Real Madrid 2
Win Probability: PSG 30%, Draw 30%, Real Madrid 40%
