Chicago White Sox VS Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Preview – 4/5/2024

Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals Overview

• Date: April 5, 2024
• Venue: Kauffman Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Erick Fedde - White Sox
  • Brady Singer - Royals
• Run Line: White Sox +1.5 (-130), Royals -1.5 (+110)
• Money Line: White Sox +160, Royals -192
• Total (Over/Under): 8.0

Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Chicago White Sox - 38.46%
• Kansas City Royals - 65.75%

Projected Win %:

• Chicago White Sox - 40.75%
• Kansas City Royals - 59.25%

Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals Game Preview & Prediction

In an American League Central matchup, the Kansas City Royals will face off against the Chicago White Sox at Kauffman Stadium on April 5, 2024. The Royals, with a record of 3-4, are having a bit of a rough season so far, while the White Sox, with a record of 1-5, are struggling even more.

On the mound, the Royals are projected to start right-handed pitcher Brady Singer, who is an average pitcher according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings. Singer is expected to pitch 6.8 innings on average, allowing 2.5 earned runs and striking out 5.6 batters. However, he is projected to give up 6.3 hits and 1.5 walks on average, which is not ideal.

The White Sox will counter with right-handed pitcher Erick Fedde, who is considered a bad pitcher by MLB standards. Fedde is projected to pitch 6.2 innings on average, allowing 2.7 earned runs and striking out 5.3 batters. However, he is projected to give up 5.8 hits and 1.7 walks on average, which is also not favorable.

In terms of team offense, the Royals rank 14th in MLB this season, which is considered average. However, their ranking drops to 19th in team batting average and a dismal 26th in team home runs. On the other hand, they excel in stolen bases, ranking 4th in MLB. The White Sox offense, on the other hand, ranks 26th in MLB overall, with a below-average team batting average and a low ranking in team home runs and stolen bases.

When it comes to the bullpen, the Royals rank 19th in MLB in terms of talent, while the White Sox rank dead last at 30th. This could play a crucial role in the outcome of the game, especially if the starting pitchers don't go deep into the game.

Looking at recent performance, the Royals' best hitter over the last 7 games has been Bobby Witt Jr., while Gavin Sheets has been the standout for the White Sox. Witt Jr. has recorded 11 hits, 7 runs, 2 home runs, and 2 stolen bases, with an impressive batting average of .440 and a 1.420 OPS. Sheets, on the other hand, has a batting average of .375 and a 1.115 OPS over the last week.

In terms of projections, THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, predicts a low-scoring game with both teams averaging 0.00 runs. This indicates a potentially tight and competitive matchup.

As the Kansas City Royals and Chicago White Sox take the field on April 5, the Royals will look to overcome their struggles and put up a fight against the struggling White Sox. With a close matchup on the cards, it will be interesting to see which team comes out on top.

Quick Takes Chicago White Sox:

Gavin Sheets has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.

• The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.

The Chicago White Sox bullpen projects as the worst in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes Kansas City Royals:

In today's matchup, Hunter Renfroe is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.4% rate (98th percentile).

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+13.97 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 72 of their last 129 games (+14.95 Units / 11% ROI)
• Maikel Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+4.00 Units / 200% ROI)

Final Score Prediction: Chicago White Sox 3.53 vs Kansas City Royals 4.05

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