Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers Game 4 Pick – 5/12/2025

The Edmonton Oilers and Vegas Golden Knights are set to face off in Game 4 of their second-round Stanley Cup Playoff series tonight, Monday, May 12, 2025, at Rogers Place in Edmonton. The Oilers currently lead the series 2-1, but the Golden Knights are coming off a dramatic Game 3 victory, having scored the game-winning goal with just 0.4 seconds remaining. This pivotal matchup is crucial for both teams: Edmonton aims to extend their lead, while Vegas looks to even the series before returning home for Game 5.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers Game 4 Preview

Game 3 was a testament to the Golden Knights' resilience. Despite falling behind by two goals in the first period, they stormed back and got a game-winner just before the final horn of regulation sounded. The Golden Knights have demonstrated depth and adaptability throughout the season, with Adin Hill's performance underscoring their ability to overcome adversity, as he has faced immense pressure throughout this series.

Offensively, Vegas has been effective, scoring eight goals over the last two games of this series. However, their defense has been under siege against the potent attack of the Oilers, as they have given up four goals per game through the first three games in this best-of-seven affair.

For the Oilers, goaltending remains a concern. Stuart Skinner struggled in Game 3 after allowing four goals on 24 shots. Edmonton's success has often hinged on their ability to rebound after losses. They won four straight games against the Los Angeles Kings after dropping the first two games of their opening-round series and they will look for a similar bounce back tonight.

Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid continue to be key offensive forces for Edmonton. They combined for four points in Game 3 at home, with Draisaitl logging two assists and McDavid grabbing a goal and an assist. Still, this game will come down to whether or not the Oilers can do enough defensively to allow their impressive attack to shine.

Betting Insights

• Moneyline: Oilers -130, Golden Knights +110
• Puckline: Golden Knights +1.5 (-225), Oilers -1.5 (+175)
• Total Goals: 6.5

Player prop bets indicate strong expectations for Edmonton's top players:

• Connor McDavid: +135 to score anytime
• Leon Draisaitl: +110 to score anytime
• Jack Eichel (Vegas): +185 to score anytime

Advanced statistics favor Edmonton slightly, with a higher expected goal differential per 60 minutes compared to Vegas. Edmonton also boasts a superior Corsi percentage versus Vegas, indicating better puck possession and shot attempt metrics.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers Game 4 Prediction

Given the Oilers' strong track record of bouncing back after losses and their superior advanced metrics, they are favored to win Game 4. However, the Golden Knights should not be underestimated, especially after their performance in Game 3. The outcome may hinge on goaltending; if Edmonton can stabilize their netminding, they have a solid chance to secure a win.

Prediction: Oilers 4, Golden Knights 2

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