Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Game 4 Pick – 5/11/2025

After a thrilling overtime victory in Game 3, the Florida Panthers aim to even their second-round series against the Toronto Maple Leafs tonight in Game 4 of the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs. The puck drops at 7:30 PM ET at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida. The Maple Leafs currently lead the series 2-1, but momentum has shifted following Florida's 5-4 win on Friday night.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Game 4 Preview

Game 3 showcased the Panthers' resilience, as they overcame a two-goal deficit to secure a 5-4 overtime victory. Sam Reinhart played a pivotal role, contributing a goal and an assist, while Sergei Bobrovsky made 31 saves to keep Florida in contention. The Panthers' offense has scored three or more goals in every game of this series so far and will look to keep firing on all cylinders to even this series at two games apiece.

Despite the loss, the Maple Leafs' offense remains potent. John Tavares scored twice in Game 3, while Mitch Marner, William Nylander, and Auston Matthews all contributed assists in the losing effort. However, Toronto's defense has shown vulnerabilities, allowing an average of four goals per game over the first three games of this series.

Florida's defense has not been any better in this series. They have allowed 4.25 goals per game through the first four games of the series. In this contest, whichever team can find their footing on defense could end up with a key victory to their hopes of moving onto the Eastern Conference Final.

Betting Insights

• Moneyline: The Panthers are currently favored at -190, with the Maple Leafs are at +160.
• Total Goals: The over/under is set at 5.5 goals, with the over favored at -145 and the under at +120.
• Player Props:
  • William Nylander to score anytime: +160
  • Sam Reinhart to score anytime: +160
  • Over 1.5 shots on goal for Evan Rodrigues: -182

Given the offensive capabilities of both teams and the defensive inconsistencies, particularly from Toronto, the over on total goals appears to be a compelling option. Additionally, considering Nylander's recent form and shot volume, backing him to score could offer value.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Game 4 Prediction

1. Pick: Florida Panthers Moneyline (-190)
2. Over/Under: Over 5.5 Goals (-145)
3. Player Prop: William Nylander to score anytime (+160)

With the momentum from their Game 3 comeback and the advantage of playing at home, the Panthers are well-positioned to tie the series. Their defense should wake up at home. That, combined with the resurgence of their offense, gives them an edge. While the Maple Leafs have the firepower to challenge, their defensive lapses could be costly. Expect a high-scoring affair, with Florida emerging victorious to level the series at 2-2.

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