Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 13, 2025

Philadelphia Flyers

Philadelphia Flyers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction – 3/13/2025

The Tampa Bay Lightning are set to face the Philadelphia Flyers on Thursday, March 13, 2025, at 7:00 PM at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. This game presents an intriguing opportunity for bettors, with both teams looking to reverse recent downturns in their performances.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Philadelphia Flyers Game Preview

The Lightning enter this contest with a 37-23-4 record, placing them third in the Atlantic Division. Despite a strong season overall, Tampa Bay has stumbled recently, losing their last two games by a combined score of 8-1. Their most recent defeat was a 4-1 loss to the Carolina Hurricanes, where they were outshot 31-24 and failed to capitalize on their lone power play opportunity.

Offensively, the Lightning have been formidable, averaging 3.50 goals per game. Nikita Kucherov leads the team with 28 goals and 64 assists, while Brandon Hagel has contributed 30 goals and 41 assists. However, Kucherov's status is uncertain after leaving the last game with an undisclosed injury.

Defensively, Tampa Bay allows 2.69 goals per game, with goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy posting a 2.25 goals-against average and a .920 save percentage. The team's penalty kill stands at 81.6%, and their power play operates at a 26% success rate.

The Flyers, on the other hand, hold a 27-31-8 record and are tied for last in the Metropolitan Division. They are currently on a five-game losing streak, with their latest setback being a 5-2 loss to the Ottawa Senators. During this skid, Philadelphia has managed only eight goals, highlighting their offensive struggles.

Philadelphia averages 2.79 goals per game, with Travis Konecny leading the team with 22 goals and 43 assists. Rookie Matvei Michkov has added 20 goals and 27 assists. The Flyers' power play has been underwhelming, converting at just 15%, while their penalty kill stands at 78.1%.

Defensively, the Flyers allow 3.35 goals per game. Goaltender Samuel Ersson has a 2.97 goals-against average and an .889 save percentage.

Betting Insights

  • Moneyline: Tampa Bay Lightning -165, Philadelphia Flyers +145
  • Over/Under: 5.5 goals

Key betting trends to consider:

  • The Lightning have won eight of their last nine games at the Wells Fargo Center.
  • The Flyers have lost each of their last five games at home.
  • The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in 14 of their last 15 home games following a home loss.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in five of their last six games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The Flyers have lost the first period in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs following a home loss.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Philadelphia Flyers Prediction

Considering the current form and statistical advantages, the Tampa Bay Lightning are well-positioned to secure a victory in this matchup. Their superior offensive capabilities, combined with the Flyers' recent struggles, suggest that Tampa Bay could win by at least two goals. Bettors might find value in taking the Lightning on the puck line, anticipating a decisive win for the visitors.

Be sure to check out all our free NHL picks here.

Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-180
90% TB
+150
10% PHI

Total Pick Consensus

5.5/+105
13% UN
5.5/-125
87% OV

Puckline Pick Consensus

-1.5/+140
0% TB
+1.5/-166
0% PHI

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Goalies
  • Recent Starts
TB
Team Stats
PHI
224
Goals For
184
172
Goals Agst
221
2.83
PP For GM
2.62
.73
PP Goals GM
.39
25.97
PP%
15.03
2.55
PP Agst GM
2.42
.47
PP Agst Goals GM
.53
81.60
PK%
78.13
8.3
PIM GM
7.6
9.1
oPIM GM
7.8
TB
Team Records
PHI
37-23-4
Overall
27-31-8
1-1
Shootout
4-3
4-3
Overtime
6-5
23-8-2
Home
15-18-1
14-15-2
Road
12-13-7
19-13-4
EAS
15-17-5
18-10-0
WES
12-14-3
8-11-0
ATL
7-6-3
11-2-4
MET
8-11-2
7-6-0
CEN
6-6-1
11-4-0
PAC
6-8-2
9-8-4
≤1
13-5-8
23-8-0
≥3
6-18-0
7-3-0
Oct
4-6-1
5-6-2
Nov
8-4-2
8-3-0
Dec
5-7-1
7-8-1
Jan
6-7-2
7-0-1
Feb
3-2-2
3-3-0
Mar
1-5-0
0-0-0
Apr
0-0-0
A. Vasilevskiy
S. Ersson
10
GP
9
10
GS
8
6-4-0
W-L-T/O
4-2-1
24
Goals Allowed
20
2.54
GAA
2.68
256
Shots Against
203
.906
SV%
.901
1
SO
1
5
Quality Starts
5
.500
QS%
.625
3
Bad Starts
1
92
Goals All.%
97
2.08
Goals Sv Above Avg
0.68

A. Vasilevskiy

Date
Opp
W/L
GA
SA
SV
SV%
5/4/22 TOR
Campbell N/A
W5-3 N/A
3
34
31
.912
5/2/22 TOR
Campbell N/A
L0-5 N/A
5
32
27
.844
4/29/22 NYI
Sorokin N/A
W6-4 N/A
4
37
33
.892
4/26/22 CBJ
Merzlikins N/A
W4-1 N/A
1
21
20
.952
4/24/22 FLA
Bobrovsky N/A
W8-4 N/A
4
39
35
.897

S. Ersson

Date
Opp
W/L
GA
SA
SV
SV%

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • PuckLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
TB PHI
TB PHI
Consensus
-195
+155
-171
+142
-180
+150
-180
+150
-150
+125
-166
+138
-195
+155
-175
+140
-170
+143
-165
+140
-170
+140
-170
+140
Open
Current
Book
TB PHI
TB PHI
Consensus
-1.5 (+136)
+1.5 (-162)
-1.5 (+146)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+136)
+1.5 (-162)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-166)
-1.5 (+156)
+1.5 (-194)
-1.5 (+146)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+132)
+1.5 (-162)
-1.5 (+148)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+143)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+143)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-170)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
5.5 (-130)
5.5 (+110)
5.5 (-127)
5.5 (+106)
5.5 (-130)
5.5 (+110)
5.5 (-125)
5.5 (+105)
5.5 (-134)
5.5 (+110)
5.5 (-128)
5.5 (+104)
6.0 (-120)
6.0 (-103)
6.0 (-105)
6.0 (-117)
5.5 (-130)
5.5 (+110)
5.5 (-130)
5.5 (+110)
6.0 (-105)
6.0 (-115)
6.0 (+100)
6.0 (-120)

Related Articles